Valencia vs Barcelona La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Valencia, 28% draw, 43% Barcelona — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Barcelona at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Valencia vs Barcelona
Line-ups
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 24Pablo MaffeoD
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 4M. DiakhabyD
- 18PepeluD
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 27David OtorbiM
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 15A. DiengM
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 25K. van OevelenG
- 5César TárregaD
- 39R. SatoM
- 19Dani RabaF
- 33Aaron MayolM
- 14José GayàD
- 31Rodrigo GamónM
- 10H. ElliottM
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 1Joan GarcíaG
- 24Eric GarcíaD
- 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
- 18Gerard MartínD
- 12X. EspartD
- 7FermínM
- 16RodriM
- 8PedriM
- 10Lamine YamalF
- 11RaphinhaF
- 17A. GordonF
- 14K. AdeyemiF
- 29H. AbdelkarimF
- 3Alejandro BaldeD
- 22Marc BernalM
- 2João CanceloD
- 15A. ChristensenD
- 9Gabriel JesusF
- 6GaviM
- 23J. KoundéD
Form going into Valencia vs Barcelona
Valencia
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Deportivo La Coruna30 August 2026
- L0-1Real Betis25 August 2026
- D0-0Celta Vigo22 August 2026
Barcelona
All competitions we cover
- W5-2Rayo Vallecano31 August 2026
- W2-0Athletic Club27 August 2026
- W5-0away to Elche23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 13 | +35 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Valencia vs Barcelona
- 23 May 2026Valencia 3–1 BarcelonaLa Liga
- 14 September 2025Barcelona 6–0 ValenciaLa Liga
- 6 February 2025Valencia 0–5 BarcelonaCopa del Rey
- 26 January 2025Barcelona 7–1 ValenciaLa Liga
- 17 August 2024Valencia 1–2 BarcelonaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Valencia and Barcelona
Valencia
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Barcelona
GoalsAssists
- Raphinha153
- Lamine Yamal108
- Fermín75
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Barcelona won 5–0 at Valencia. The model had made a win for Barcelona its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Lamine Yamal 6' for Barcelona, Fermín López 22' for Barcelona, Raphael Dias Belloli 50' for Barcelona, Pedri 79' for Barcelona, Lamine Yamal 84' for Barcelona.