Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 27% draw, 41% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Daejeon Citizen at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Line-ups
- 51Ahn Joon-SooG
- 2Min Kyeong-hyeonD
- 45Byeon Jun-SooD
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 33Park Jin-SeongD
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 55Park Tae-JunM
- 56Lee Kang-HyunM
- 21Kim In-GyunM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 49M. KangF
- 46Chung Ma-HoM
- 57Jeong Jae-MinF
- 50Kang Ju-HyeokF
- 62Kim Jin-HoD
- 65Lee Sang-HyeokD
- 44Park Min-SeoD
- 41Park Man-HoG
- 53Roh Kyung-HoM
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokD
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 33Kim Moon-HwanD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 30Kim Bong-SooM
- 6Kang Yun-SungM
- 11Um Won-SangM
- 14Kim Jun-BumM
- 19Seo Jin-SuM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeF
- 13Kim Jin-YaD
- 3Kim Min-DukD
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 20Lee Hyun-SikM
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 9Diogo de OliveiraF
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
K League 1
- D2-2away to FC Seoul18 October 2026
- L0-1FC Anyang10 October 2026
Daejeon Citizen
K League 1
- W3-2Gwangju FC18 October 2026
- W2-1Jeonbuk Motors9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen
- 25 July 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–2 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 14 March 2026Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 30 November 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 31 August 2025Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 18 June 2025Daejeon Citizen 0–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 19 April 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–2 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Citizen
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen won 2–1 at Gimcheon Sangmu FC. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Daejeon Citizen at 41%. The goals: Diogo Oliveira 51' for Daejeon Citizen, Jung Jae-min 73' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC, Gustav Ludwigson 90+5' for Daejeon Citizen.
How the call on Gimcheon Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Gimcheon Sangmu FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win32%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Daejeon Citizen win41%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.