FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Seoul 1-1 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% FC Seoul, 28% draw, 26% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
FC Seoul at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
Line-ups
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 4Lee Sang-MinD
- 5Yazan Al ArabD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 11L. RuizF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 26Baek Jong-BeomG
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 18Cho Young-WookF
- 41Hwang Do-YoonM
- 14Hyeon-Woo JeongF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 40Park Seong-HunD
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 88Hwang Mun-KiD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 13Lee Gi-HyukD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 11Goh Young-JunF
- 77A. HalaihalF
- 41K. SungG
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 23M. TuciD
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 5K. MammarD
- 8Lee Seung-WonM
- 17Eun-ho LeeF
Form going into FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
FC Seoul
K League 1
- D2-2Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 October 2026
- W2-1Jeju United FC10 October 2026
Gangwon FC
K League 1
- D1-1Incheon United18 October 2026
- W2-0Bucheon FC 19959 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 32 | +30 | 67 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 44 | 34 | +10 | 51 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Seoul vs Gangwon FC
- 12 July 2026FC Seoul 0–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 25 April 2026Gangwon FC 1–2 FC SeoulK League 1
- 26 October 2025FC Seoul 4–2 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 13 September 2025Gangwon FC 3–2 FC SeoulK League 1
- 17 June 2025FC Seoul 1–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 15 March 2025Gangwon FC 0–1 FC SeoulK League 1
Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Gangwon FC
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala80
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- Mo Jae-Hyeon42
- A. Halaihal40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Seoul and Gangwon FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Seoul at 46% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Moon Seon-min 58' for FC Seoul, Kang Joon-Hyuck 64' for Gangwon FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.