Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-3 Gwangju FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Bucheon FC 1995, 26% draw, 28% Gwangju FC — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bucheon FC 1995 at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
Line-ups
- 1Kim Hyung-GeunG
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 26An Tae-HyunM
- 4S. Ye-GeonM
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 83Jo Seong-JoonM
- 13Kim Min-JunF
- 9Park Jeong-InF
- 11Jefferson GalegoF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 6Jeong Ho-JinM
- 24Kim Dong-HyunM
- 93J. LeeD
- 31Lee Sang-HyeonG
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 23K. TakahashiM
- 25Bong-Hun YeoM
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 22Kwon Sung-YunD
- 4T. van GrunsvenD
- 39Min Sang-GiD
- 17João PedroD
- 40Shin Chang-MooM
- 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
- 21Kim Jong-SukM
- 9Ha Seung-UnM
- 50A. Ba LouaF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 6Ahn Young-KyuD
- 66Bae Jin-WooD
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 1Kim Kyeong-MinG
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 25Kim Yun-HoF
- 88Moon Min-seoM
- 33Park Won-JaeD
- 37Lee Yong-JickM
Form going into Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
Bucheon FC 1995
K League 1
- L1-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Gangwon FC9 October 2026
Gwangju FC
K League 1
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen18 October 2026
- W4-3Ulsan Hyundai FC11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC
- 8 August 2026Bucheon FC 1995 0–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 11 April 2026Gwangju FC 0–1 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
- 27 August 2025Bucheon FC 1995 1–2 Gwangju FCFA Cup
- 20 August 2025Gwangju FC 2–0 Bucheon FC 1995FA Cup
- 19 June 2024Bucheon FC 1995 2–3 Gwangju FCFA Cup
- 30 August 2022Bucheon FC 1995 2–1 Gwangju FCK League 2
Leading scorers: Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego51
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale90
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gwangju FC won 3–0 at Bucheon FC 1995. The model had leaned towards a win for Bucheon FC 1995 at 46% and given a win for Gwangju FC 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: John Iredale 45+1' for Gwangju FC, Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua 60' for Gwangju FC, John Iredale 65' for Gwangju FC.
How the call on Bucheon FC 1995 v Gwangju FC has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 26% / 28%: the biggest move is Gwangju FC's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Bucheon FC 1995 win46%▼ −3
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Gwangju FC win28%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.