19 September 2026, 15:15 UTC

Paris FC vs Strasbourg Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Paris FC, 26% draw, 24% Strasbourg — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Paris FC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ilan Kebbalassist: Lassine Sinayoko
18'
Maxime López
40'
🔁Hamari Traoreout: Thibault De Smet
54'
⚽Pablo Pagisassist: Maxime López
57'
58'
🔁Jacobo Ortegaout: Conrad Harder
63'
Diogo Sousa
67'
Gessime Yassine
67'
🔁Giovanni Reynaout: Dario Essugo
67'
🔁Samir El-Mourabetout: Pape Demba Diop
67'
🔁Sebastian Nanasiout: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
🔁Pablo Pagisout: Jonathan Ikoné
68'
🔁Ilan Kebbalout: Rudy Matondo
68'
🔁Maxime Lópezout: Vincent Marchetti
86'
🔁Lassine Sinayokoout: Patrick Zabi
87'
87'
🔁Gessime Yassineout: Yaya Dieme
88'
⚽Moustapha Mbow (OG)
Thibault De Smet
90'
Luca Koleosho
90+4'

Match stats — Paris FC vs Strasbourg

52%Possession48%
17Shots5
7On target1
3Corners0

Line-ups

Paris FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. TrappG
  • 17A. CamaraD
  • 5M. MbowD
  • 42D. CoppolaD
  • 14H. TraoréD
  • 33P. Lees-MelouM
  • 20M. LopezM
  • 10I. KebbalM
  • 7P. PagisM
  • 15L. KoleoshoM
  • 9L. SinayokoF
Substitutes
  • 8E. ZabiM
  • 28T. De SmetD
  • 93J. IkonéF
  • 11J. KrassoF
  • 4V. MarchettiM
  • 16O. NkambadioG
  • 23R. MatondoM
  • 27M. SimonF
  • 25Y. KoréD
Coach: L. Rosenior
Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. JörgensenG
  • 16G. AntwiD
  • 4J. MitchellD
  • 6I. DoukouréD
  • 36OsoD
  • 29S. El MourabetM
  • 23Diogo SousaM
  • 80Gessime YassineM
  • 10G. ReynaM
  • 11S. NanasiM
  • 30J. OrtegaF
Substitutes
  • 12M. PiekutowskiG
  • 28Tyrese NoubissieM
  • 24L. HøgsbergD
  • 40C. HarderF
  • 35Yaya DiemeF
  • 21P. DiopM
  • 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
  • 14Dário EssugoM
  • 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
Coach: Hugo Oliveira

Form going into Paris FC vs Strasbourg

Paris FC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Lyon12 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Marseille6 September 2026
  • W3-0Nice30 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Estac Troyes22 August 2026

Strasbourg

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Monaco12 September 2026
  • W6-2away to Estac Troyes6 September 2026
  • W2-1Lens29 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Marseille21 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Paris FC106221710+720
13Strasbourg103161822-410

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Paris FC vs Strasbourg

  • 15 March 2026Strasbourg 0–0 Paris FCLigue 1
  • 21 September 2025Paris FC 2–3 StrasbourgLigue 1
  • 30 January 2015Strasbourg 2–1 Paris FCLigue 3
  • 22 August 2014Paris FC 1–1 StrasbourgLigue 3
  • 1 March 2014Strasbourg 0–2 Paris FCLigue 3

The full Paris FC vs Strasbourg record →

Leading scorers: Paris FC and Strasbourg

Paris FC

GoalsAssists

  • L. Sinayoko95

Strasbourg

GoalsAssists

  • Gessime Yassine43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Paris FC at 50%. The goals: Ilan Kebbal 18' for Paris FC, Pablo Pagis 57' for Paris FC, Moustapha Mbow (own goal) 88' for Strasbourg.

How the call on Paris FC v Strasbourg has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Paris FC's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Paris FC win50%▼ −2
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Strasbourg win24%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.