Grasshoppers
vs
FC Sion
Super League prediction & result
Final score: Grasshoppers 2-5 FC Sion.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Grasshoppers, 28% draw, 37% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Grasshoppers 1.54, FC Sion 1.58.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 37% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
Line-ups
- 1M. HübelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 58Yannik BettkoberD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 10Óscar ClementeM
- 66Manex GibelaldeM
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 11G. MorandiF
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 17S. KrasniqiF
- 24K. GoudmijnM
- 20D. FerrazzaF
- 60S. BengondoF
- 71J. HammelG
- 23S. MarquesM
- 4L. MikulicD
- 9N. MuciF
- 55D. PapicM
- 57Nico RissiD
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8Baltazar CostaM
- 7I. ChouarefM
- 77D. RrudhaniM
- 19F. SurdezM
- 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
- 55L. VillaD
- 29T. BerdayesF
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 20N. HeftiD
- 10B. KololliM
- 9J. LukembilaF
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 37F. SyllaM
Form going into Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
Grasshoppers
- W1-0away to FC Thun12 September 2026
- D2-2FC Zurich5 September 2026
- W2-0FC St. Gallen2 September 2026
- L2-5away to FC Vaduz30 August 2026
FC Sion
- W3-0away to FC St. Gallen12 September 2026
- W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
- L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Sion | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs FC Sion
- 6 April 2026Grasshoppers 0–4 FC SionSuper League
- 3 February 2026Grasshoppers 4–3 FC SionSchweizer Cup
- 13 December 2025FC Sion 1–0 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 19 October 2025Grasshoppers 0–1 FC SionSuper League
- 17 May 2025FC Sion 2–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 16 March 2025Grasshoppers 1–1 FC SionSuper League
Leading scorers: Grasshoppers and FC Sion
Grasshoppers
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
FC Sion
- Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals4 assists
- J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
- D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.54 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.58 for FC Sion; the game produced 2 and 5.
A gap that size between expected and actual goals is normal in a single match — it is the reason we publish probabilities rather than predictions, and why the record below is measured over hundreds of games rather than one.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Ylyas Chouaref 12' (FC Sion), Samuel Krasniqi 42' (Grasshoppers), Giotto Morandi 49' (Grasshoppers), Rilind Nivokazi 63' (FC Sion), Rilind Nivokazi 69' (FC Sion), Fodé Sylla 82' (FC Sion), Josias Lukembila 90' (FC Sion).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for Grasshoppers against 1.58 for FC Sion. Grasshoppers's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.86/1.33 for FC Sion.