Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Guadalajara Chivas 5-2 Club Tijuana.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Guadalajara Chivas, 26% draw, 39% Club Tijuana — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Club Tijuana at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
- W1-0away to Santos Laguna17 August 2026
Club Tijuana
- W2-1Cruz Azul17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico San Luis1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
- 26 April 2026Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 23 August 2025Club Tijuana 3–3 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 10 February 2025Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 Club TijuanaLiga MX
- 13 July 2024Club Tijuana 4–2 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 27 January 2024Club Tijuana 1–1 Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
- 23 August 2023Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Club TijuanaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana
Guadalajara Chivas
- R. Alvarado3 goals
Club Tijuana
- G. Mora4 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.