22 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Udinese vs Como Serie A prediction & result

Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Udinese 1-1 Como.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Udinese, 23% draw, 36% Como — fair odds of 2.44, 4.35 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Udinese at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Udinese5%Draw90%Como5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jakub Piotrowski
28'
⚽H. Kamaraassist: J. Ekkelenkamp
29'
James Abankwah
41'
🔁M. Palmaout: E. Ebosse
46'
46'
🔁M. Perroneout: L. Da Cunha
46'
🔁M. Baturinaout: A. Diao
54'
⚽A. Douvikas
🔁J. Piotrowskiout: L. Miller
71'
71'
🔁J. Rodriguezout: M. Liberali
🔁I. Gueyeout: V. Bayo
72'
🔁J. Ekkelenkampout: U. Gomez
85'
89'
🔁Y. Coutoout: I. Smolcic
89'
🔁N. Pazout: M. Caqueret
Unai Gómez
90+3'
🔁N. Zanioloout: O. Zarraga
90'

Match stats — Udinese vs Como

41%Possession59%
16Shots20
3On target6
1Corners10
1.98xG1.49

Goals against chances

Udinese1 from 1.98 xGless than the chances were worth
Como1 from 1.49 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Udinese 3-4-2-1
  • 40M. OkoyeG
  • 14J. AbankwahD
  • 16M. PalmaD
  • 28O. SoletD
  • 23M. VojvodaM
  • 8J. KarlstromM
  • 24J. PiotrowskiM
  • 11H. KamaraM
  • 10N. ZanioloF
  • 32J. EkkelenkampF
  • 7I. GueyeF
Substitutes
  • 93D. PadelliG
  • 99E. PianaG
  • 77E. EbosseD
  • 13N. BertolaD
  • 2S. GoglichidzeD
  • 4S. LovricM
  • 38L. MillerM
  • 46U. GomezM
  • 79D. PejicicM
Coach: Kosta Runjaic
Como 4-2-3-1
  • 1J. ButezG
  • 27Y. CoutoD
  • 4J. RamonD
  • 99T. ChalobahD
  • 3A. ValleD
  • 5M. PerroneM
  • 6L. MillaM
  • 10N. PazM
  • 20M. BaturinaM
  • 17J. RodriguezM
  • 9A. DouvikasF
Substitutes
  • 22M. VigoritoG
  • 21N. TornqvistG
  • 12E. AuderoG
  • 13A. DossenaD
  • 28I. SmolcicD
  • 16KaikiD
  • 2M. O. KempfD
  • 18E. GoldanigaD
  • 30M. LiberaliM
Coach: Cesc Fabregas

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Udinese4112810-24
3Como431094+510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Udinese vs Como

  • 22 August 2026Udinese 1–1 ComoSerie A
  • 6 April 2026Udinese 0–0 ComoSerie A
  • 3 January 2026Como 1–0 UdineseSerie A
  • 20 January 2025Como 4–1 UdineseSerie A
  • 1 September 2024Udinese 1–0 ComoSerie A

Leading scorers: Udinese and Como

Udinese

  • J. Ekkelenkamp2 goals1 assists
  • H. Kamara2 goals1 assists

Como

  • M. Baturina2 goals1 assists
  • Assane Diao2 goals1 assists
  • T. Douvikas2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.