Hapoel Ramat Gan
vs
Maccabi Netanya
Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Ramat Gan 2-0 Maccabi Netanya.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 30% draw, 31% Maccabi Netanya — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.40, Maccabi Netanya 1.12.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Ramat Gan at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
Line-ups
- 55Amit RaifG
- 66S. MijailovićD
- 5Jota GonçalvesD
- 4Márcio SilvaD
- 33F. IbrahimD
- 21I. OliM
- 99Luan CamposM
- 6G. NaorM
- 10M. SemelM
- 11D. AsankaM
- 9M. NoubissiF
- 8I. BarnesF
- 20C. BonifaceM
- 28M. HozezF
- 17O. YitzhakD
- 15N. SchwartzD
- 16A. ZurD
- 3D. TischlerD
- 24T. GlazerM
- 22A. YankoG
- 22SamuG
- 12A. AzugiD
- 6B. KonatéD
- 44Benny FeldmanD
- 24A. CohenD
- 32A. OuattaraM
- 13N. NiddamM
- 10O. BiluM
- 16B. ZaaruraM
- 8D. HazizaM
- 83Matheus DavóF
- 18O. ShamirM
- 2G. MorozovD
- 5D. KulikovD
- 26K. JaberD
- 30Itay ShwartzmanM
- 21A. TalpaM
- 11D. HugiF
- 14L. CohenF
- 1N. AntmanG
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Maccabi Haifa22 August 2026
Maccabi Netanya
- D1-1Hapoel Haifa7 September 2026
- W4-1away to Beitar Jerusalem29 August 2026
- D0-0Bnei Sakhnin24 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Maccabi Netanya | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Netanya
- 14 September 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan 2–0 Maccabi NetanyaLigat Ha'al
- 2 August 2026Maccabi Netanya 2–3 Hapoel Ramat GanToto Cup Ligat Al
- 24 April 2017Hapoel Ramat Gan 3–5 Maccabi NetanyaLiga Leumit
- 16 January 2017Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–1 Maccabi NetanyaLiga Leumit
- 19 September 2016Maccabi Netanya 2–1 Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- Luan Campos1 goals1 assists
Maccabi Netanya
- Matheus Davó4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.40 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.12 for Maccabi Netanya; the game produced 2 and 0.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Marius Noubissi 16' (Hapoel Ramat Gan), Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silva 35' (Hapoel Ramat Gan).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hapoel Ramat Gan the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.4 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan against 1.12 for Maccabi Netanya. Hapoel Ramat Gan's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.65 for Maccabi Netanya.