6 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

Polessya vs Veres Rivne Premier League prediction & result

Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
Referee: Roman Blavatskiy
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Polessya 2-0 Veres Rivne.

Before kick-off the model made it 75% Polessya, 17% draw, 8% Veres Rivne — fair odds of 1.33, 5.88 and 12.50.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Polessya at 75%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Polessya99%Draw1%Veres Rivne0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Vladyslav Sharay
Igor Krasnopir
14'
Maksym Bragaru
27'
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
34'
35'
Ivan Sanotskyi
37'
Mykyta Aleksandrov
45+2'
O. Shandruk
🔁Oleksandr Andriyevskyiout: Lindon Emerllahu
45'
🔁Giorgi Maisuradzeout: Mykyta Kravchenko
45'
🔁Maksym Bragaruout: Oleg Fedor
45'
⚽Eduard Sarapiyassist: Mykyta Kravchenko
47'
58'
Mykyta Aleksandrov
🔁Igor Krasnopirout: Mykola Gayduchyk
59'
🔁Vladyslav Veletenout: Oleksandr Nazarenko
68'
72'
🔁Wesley Pombaout: Guilherme Bahia
72'
🔁Fabrício Yan Peixoto Barros Limeiraout: Alagie Wally
78'
🔁Vladyslav Sharayout: Maksym Smiyan
78'
🔁Mykhaylo Protasevychout: Konstantinos Stamoulis
89'
🔁David Niyoout: Rostyslav baran
⚽Mykola Gayduchykassist: Lindon Emerllahu
90+3'

Match stats — Polessya vs Veres Rivne

70%Possession30%
0On target0

Line-ups

Polessya 4-1-4-1
  • 23Y. VolynetsG
  • 31G. MaisuradzeD
  • 16I. KrasniqiD
  • 5E. SarapiyD
  • 55B. KrushynskyiD
  • 8R. BabenkoM
  • 11Leandro AndradeM
  • 18O. AndrievskyiM
  • 45M. BragaruM
  • 10V. VeletenM
  • 95I. KrasnopirF
Substitutes
  • 77N. MakarenkoG
  • 4M. KravchenkoD
  • 44S. ChobotenkoD
  • 94D. GryshkevychD
  • 7O. NazarenkoM
  • 14L. EmërllahuM
  • 19V. ShepelevM
  • 22A. AraujoD
  • 27O. FedorM
Coach: R. Rotan
Veres Rivne 4-4-2
  • 1Pavlo StefanyukG
  • 17M. ProtasevychD
  • 4K. CipotD
  • 25I. SanotskyiD
  • 5Pavlo BagriyD
  • 77V. SharayM
  • 6David NiyoM
  • 44D. ChecherM
  • 11L. PombaM
  • 23M. AleksandrovF
  • 7Fabrício YanF
Substitutes
  • 20Alagie WallyF
  • 91V. GorokhG
  • 30L. KhokhashviliM
  • 80Guilherme BahiaM
  • 27S. MigutskyiF
  • 88R. BaranM
  • 2M. SmiyanD
  • 53Andrey VictorD
  • 22K. StamoulisD
Coach: O. Shandruk

Form going into Polessya vs Veres Rivne

Polessya

Premier League

  • W3-0Obolon'-Brovar23 October 2026
  • W3-1Dynamo Kyiv18 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Bukovyna11 October 2026
  • W1-0Kryvbas KR18 September 2026

Veres Rivne

Premier League

  • L1-3Chornomorets31 October 2026
  • L0-2Kolos Kovalivka23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Obolon'-Brovar16 October 2026
  • L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Polessya went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Polessya scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Polessya won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Veres Rivne did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Veres Rivne conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Veres Rivne failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Polessya11911258+1728
13Veres Rivne12237718-119

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Polessya vs Veres Rivne

  • 5 April 2026Polessya 1–1 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 29 September 2025Veres Rivne 1–4 PolessyaPremier League
  • 2 April 2025Veres Rivne 0–1 PolessyaCup
  • 11 March 2025Veres Rivne 5–1 PolessyaPremier League
  • 12 October 2024Polessya 0–0 Veres RivneFriendlies Clubs
  • 15 September 2024Polessya 2–1 Veres RivnePremier League

Leading scorers: Polessya and Veres Rivne

Polessya

GoalsAssists

  • I. Krasnopir81
  • V. Veleten41

Veres Rivne

GoalsAssists

  • André Gonçalves22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Polessya beat Veres Rivne 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Polessya at 75%. The goals: Eduard Sarapiy 47' for Polessya, Mykola Gayduchyk 90+3' for Polessya. Sent off: Mykyta Aleksandrov (Veres Rivne) 58'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Polessya a 18.7% chance to finish top of the regular season: 19.7% after a win, 12.9% after a draw, 9.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 19.7%, 1 points higher than before the match.

For Veres Rivne the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 66.4% going in: 45.1% after a win, 61.3% after a draw, 68.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 68.2%, 1.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Polessya v Veres Rivne has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 72% / 19% / 9% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 75% / 17% / 8%: the biggest move is Polessya's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Polessya win75%▲ +3
  2. Draw17%▼ −2
  3. Veres Rivne win8%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.