Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Obolon'-Brovar 1-1 Livyi Bereh.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Obolon'-Brovar, 32% draw, 37% Livyi Bereh — fair odds of 3.23, 3.13 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Livyi Bereh at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh
Line-ups
- 1N. FedorivskyiG
- 2D. KapinusD
- 3V. ErmakovD
- 30K. ProkopchukD
- 5Y. ShevchenkoD
- 6M. ChekhM
- 4T. MorozM
- 14A. ShulyanskyiM
- 10O. SlobodyanM
- 7A. MatkevychM
- 9D. UstymenkoF
- 36Nikita VorobyovG
- 12K. BarantsovG
- 78Vladyslav SkrygunD
- 32A. LomnytskyiD
- 20R. VolokhatyiM
- 13I. MedynskyiM
- 15D. MyshnovM
- 17Y. MorozkoM
- 24E. ProkopenkoD
- 12R. ZhmurkoG
- 2O. SokolovD
- 97A. YakymivD
- 4V. BondarenkoD
- 6Sidney Silva SantosD
- 8O. KryvoruchkoM
- 44Y. BanadaM
- 17N. VorobchakM
- 15V. VoloshynM
- 7D. ShastalM
- 9WendellF
- 5V. SamarD
- 14S. TatolnaD
- 13I. KovalenkoD
- 11I. KvasnytsyaM
- 90N. Osei BonsuD
- 38A. ChelyadinM
- 37roman gereshF
- 20P. FallF
- 74D. IgnatenkoG
Form going into Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh
Obolon'-Brovar
Premier League
- L0-2away to Shakhtar Donetsk30 October 2026
- L0-3away to Polessya23 October 2026
- W2-0Veres Rivne16 October 2026
- D1-1away to Chornomorets18 September 2026
Livyi Bereh
Premier League
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy24 October 2026
- L1-2away to FC Kharkiv19 October 2026
- L1-3Zorya Luhansk12 October 2026
What these results say
- Obolon'-Brovar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Obolon'-Brovar conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Obolon'-Brovar had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh
- 21 July 2026Livyi Bereh 2–2 Obolon'-BrovarFriendlies Clubs
- 23 May 2025Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Livyi BerehPremier League
- 30 November 2024Livyi Bereh 1–1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 2 June 2024Livyi Bereh 1–1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 29 May 2024Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Livyi BerehPremier League
- 12 July 2023Obolon'-Brovar 0–2 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
Obolon'-Brovar and Livyi Bereh drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Livyi Bereh at 37% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: O. Kryvoruchko 28' for Livyi Bereh, Andriy Yakimiv (own goal) 73' for Obolon'-Brovar.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Obolon'-Brovar a 76.5% chance to finish in the bottom four: 68.2% after a win, 78.1% after a draw, 82.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 78.1%, 1.6 points higher than before the match.
For Livyi Bereh the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 22.2% going in: 16.1% after a win, 22.8% after a draw, 28.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 22.8%, 0.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.