Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Hertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Magdeburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hertha BSC, 28% draw, 30% 1. FC Magdeburg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All 2. Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Hertha BSC at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35M. GersbeckG
- 2J. EitschbergerD
- 44L. GechterD
- 27N. KolbeD
- 22M. PedersenD
- 30P. SeguinM
- 8K. SessaM
- 23J. ThorsteinssonM
- 33S. GouramM
- 7J. BrekaloM
- 17S. GronningF
- 43T. GollerG
- 31M. DardaiD
- 19O. AdewumiF
- 41P. KlemensD
- 47S. TelibM
- 9G. NilssonF
- 18L. SchulerF
- 20F. Alfa-RuprechtF
- 28J. NdiF
- 1D. ReimannG
- 7H. BockhornD
- 5T. MullerD
- 3A. Garcia MacNultyD
- 17A. NollenbergerD
- 38L. HyrylainenM
- 10M. KwartengM
- 21F. MichelM
- 8E. IyohaF
- 22M. ZukowskiF
- 23B. AtikF
- 30N. KruthG
- 6P. JaeckelD
- 28P. NadjombeD
- 11F. ChavezM
- 33L. MergnerM
- 26T. MuselM
- 9R. SimicF
- 29R. TachieF
- 35M. BaarsF
Form going into Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
All competitions we cover
- W5-3away to Eintracht Braunschweig28 August 2026
- W4-11. FC Heidenheim15 August 2026
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026
1. FC Magdeburg
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Holstein Kiel30 August 2026
- W3-0away to VfL Osnabrück15 August 2026
- L1-6Eintracht Braunschweig8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg
- 3 May 20261. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
- 7 December 2025Hertha BSC 0–2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 25 April 2025Hertha BSC 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 29 November 20241. FC Magdeburg 1–3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
- 16 February 2024Hertha Berlin 3–2 FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 2 September 2023FC Magdeburg 6–4 Hertha Berlin2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg
Hertha BSC
GoalsAssists
- J. Brekalo55
- O. Adewumi50
- S. Grønning41
1. FC Magdeburg
GoalsAssists
- E. Iyoha60
- M. Żukowski60
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hertha BSC beat 1. FC Magdeburg 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hertha BSC at 42%. The goals: J. Brekalo 10' for Hertha BSC, F. Michel 31' for 1. FC Magdeburg, O. Adewumi 47' for Hertha BSC. Sent off: Paul Seguin (Hertha BSC) 62', Tobias Müller (1. FC Magdeburg) 73'. On expected goals it finished 1.38–0.91.