Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Vitória SC 0-0 Casa Pia.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Vitória SC, 29% draw, 25% Casa Pia — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Vitória SC at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vitória SC vs Casa Pia
Line-ups
- 48O. ZychG
- 23T. StrataD
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 13João MendesD
- 16BeniM
- 44L. DoucetM
- 17Miguel NogueiraM
- 20SamuM
- 11GustavoM
- 24A. NdoyeF
- 56S. VerdiM
- 7O. CamaraF
- 22J. CastilloG
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 82F. DiasD
- 6M. MitrovićM
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 29V. OuotroF
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 31André GomesG
- 18GeraldesD
- 3KalyD
- 43David SousaD
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 16SilviM
- 80L. OforiM
- 19K. PrietoM
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 77B. PauwelsM
- 20A. JattaF
- 10RochinhaF
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 90CassianoF
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 4João GoulartD
- 95Ivan MandićG
- 17E. MaurinF
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 24S. PérezM
Form going into Vitória SC vs Casa Pia
Vitória SC
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to SC Braga31 August 2026
Casa Pia
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Moreirense30 August 2026
- L0-2away to GIL Vicente24 August 2026
- L0-7Benfica17 August 2026
- L0-1away to Maritimo8 August 2026
What these results say
- Casa Pia did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Casa Pia failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- Casa Pia conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vitória SC vs Casa Pia
- 11 May 2026Vitória SC 0–1 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- 28 December 2025Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 1 March 2025Vitória SC 1–0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- 28 September 2024Casa Pia 1–1 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga
- 24 February 2024Vitória SC 0–2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
The result against the call
Vitória SC and Casa Pia drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Vitória SC at 46% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.