23 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF 1. Division prediction & result

DS Arena, Hobro
Referee: N. Lindby
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Hobro 2-2 Vendsyssel FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Hobro, 27% draw, 27% Vendsyssel FF — fair odds of 2.17, 3.70 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hobro at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hobro5%Draw92%Vendsyssel FF3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
⚽R. Schuller
20'
R. Schuller
T. Hansen
25'
34'
⚽A. C. Vendelbo (pen)
O. Dorph
45+1'
🔁R. Haugeout: M. Huldahl
46'
🔁M. Pedersenout: O. Meedom
61'
🔁C. Enemarkout: M. Kannegaard
61'
⚽F. Christensenassist: L. Klitten
63'
64'
🔁S. Lodbergout: A. N. Atlason
64'
🔁M. Hannesboout: B. Konteh
⚽O. Meedomassist: M. Huldahl
70'
72'
S. Michael
🔁A. Breumout: Z. Hyltoft
73'
76'
🔁M. Holtout: F. Mortensen
76'
🔁S. Michaelout: E. Pedersen
86'
🔁A. N. Atlasonout: A. Rise
90+6'
A. C. Vendelbo

Line-ups

Hobro
  • 25J. Dakir
  • 20A. Noshe
  • 3C. Enemark
  • 4O. Dorph
  • 18E. Sogaard
  • 27L. Klitten
  • 26T. Hansen
  • 8M. Pedersen
  • 43A. Breum
  • 11R. Hauge
  • 9F. Christensen
Substitutes
  • 1A. Sondergaard
  • 5M. Kannegaard
  • 2M. Londal
  • 17Z. Hyltoft
  • 19V. Halilovic
  • 29O. Obasi
  • 22M. Huldahl
  • 16O. Meedom
  • 40P. Flak
Coach: Jens Gjesing
Vendsyssel FF
  • 1L. Schulz
  • 23A. Olsen
  • 21B. Clemmensen
  • 73M. Lauritsen
  • 11M. Hannesbo
  • 6R. Schuller
  • 8S. Michael
  • 17S. Lodberg
  • 18M. Holt
  • 12A. C. Vendelbo
  • 9L. Steffensen
Substitutes
  • 16M. Nielsen
  • 4B. Konteh
  • 27J. Sommer
  • 14F. Mortensen
  • 15H. Tangen
  • 30A. N. Atlason
  • 31A. Rise
  • 19E. Pedersen
  • 10S. Simpson
Coach: Kim Engstrom

Form going into Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF

Hobro

1. Division

  • L0-3away to FC Fredericia17 October 2026
  • D1-1Kolding IF10 October 2026

Vendsyssel FF

1. Division

  • L1-2away to Kolding IF16 October 2026
  • L0-2HB Koge11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Hobro144461624-816
12Vendsyssel FF142661424-1012

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF

  • 5 August 2026Hobro 0–4 Vendsyssel FFDBU Pokalen
  • 2 August 2026Vendsyssel FF 1–2 Hobro1. Division
  • 14 February 2026Hobro 0–1 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 May 2025Vendsyssel FF 2–0 Hobro1. Division
  • 16 April 2025Hobro 3–1 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 21 February 2025Hobro 1–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division

The result against the call

Hobro and Vendsyssel FF drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Hobro at 46% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: R. Schuller 17' for Vendsyssel FF, A. C. Vendelbo (penalty) 34' for Vendsyssel FF, F. Christensen 63' for Hobro, O. Meedom 70' for Hobro.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hobro a 26.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 16.9% after a win, 27.8% after a draw, 39.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 27.8%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.

For Vendsyssel FF the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 56.1% going in: 40.5% after a win, 56.4% after a draw, 65.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 56.4%.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hobro v Vendsyssel FF has moved

First published on 9 Oct at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 27% / 27%: the biggest move is Hobro's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Hobro win46%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Vendsyssel FF win27%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.