23 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result

Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Referee: V. Mitrev
Full time4 – 0

Final score: CSKA 1948 4-0 Botev Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% CSKA 1948, 26% draw, 26% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

CSKA 1948 at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CSKA 194899%Draw1%Botev Plovdiv0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Petar Vitanov
5'
⚽Elias Correa Franco
13'
⚽Jules Meyer
29'
Emerson
35'
⚽Petar Vitanov
44'
46'
🔁velian vidolovout: Carlos Meotti
🔁Petar Vitanovout: Atanas Iliev
46'
59'
🔁Asen Chandarovout: Stanislav Shopov
danilo terasenko
62'
🔁Andre Hoffmannout: Benaissa Benamar
69'
72'
🔁Mauro Rodriguesout: Georgi Milanov
77'
Samuel Kalu
🔁danilo terasenkoout: Dragan Grivić
78'
🔁Elias Correa Francoout: Frederic Maciel
78'
82'
🔁Vladimir Mendesout: Bogdan Kostov
⚽Moataz Zemzemi
84'

Match stats — CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv

47%Possession53%
14Shots13
7On target6
6Corners5

Line-ups

CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1
  • 31A. BozhevG
  • 4A. HoffmannD
  • 96D. GrivićD
  • 6EmersonD
  • 3L. DvaliD
  • 33H. CuellarD
  • 30J. MeyerM
  • 8M. ZemzemiM
  • 77Elias FrancoF
  • 11G. RusevF
  • 93M. DialloF
Substitutes
  • 34P. VitanovM
  • 10B. TsonevM
  • 71danilo terasenkoF
  • 14K. StrinskiM
  • 1P. MarinovG
  • 23F. KrebsM
  • 70K. IlievD
  • 9A. IlievF
  • 7BernaM
Coach: Ognyan Mladenov
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 29D. NaumovG
  • 27B. HeinD
  • 4N. SoldoD
  • 87S. PetrovD
  • 82V. MendesD
  • 77Lucas AraújoM
  • 16V. VidolovM
  • 7Alberto SalidoM
  • 10A. ChandarovM
  • 19Mauro RodriguesF
  • 90S. KaluF
Substitutes
  • 44E. UkakiD
  • 1H. SlavkovG
  • 11S. ShopovM
  • 22M. SengerD
  • 17G. MilanovM
  • 66C. MeottiF
  • 30Franklin MascoteF
  • 15B. KostovD
  • 88W. ChimezieF
Coach: S. Genchev

Form going into CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv

CSKA 1948

First League

  • L2-3CSKA Sofia11 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Slavia Sofia18 September 2026

Botev Plovdiv

First League

  • W1-0Slavia Sofia10 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4CSKA 1948149233316+1729
5Botev Plovdiv147252321+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv

  • 8 March 2026CSKA 1948 0–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 25 September 2025Botev Plovdiv 1–2 CSKA 1948First League
  • 16 March 2025Botev Plovdiv 0–5 CSKA 1948First League
  • 29 September 2024CSKA 1948 0–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 23 May 2024CSKA 1948 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League

Leading scorers: CSKA 1948 and Botev Plovdiv

CSKA 1948

GoalsAssists

  • Frédéric Maciel30
  • Elias Franco20
  • A. Iliev10

Botev Plovdiv

GoalsAssists

  • C. Meotti10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CSKA 1948 beat Botev Plovdiv 4–0. The model had made a win for CSKA 1948 its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Elias Correa Franco 13' for CSKA 1948, Jules Meyer 29' for CSKA 1948, Petar Vitanov 44' for CSKA 1948, Moataz Zemzemi 84' for CSKA 1948.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave CSKA 1948 a 72.0% chance to finish in the top four: 80.2% after a win, 69.8% after a draw, 58.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.2%, 8.2 points higher than before the match.

For Botev Plovdiv the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 22.6% going in: 35.2% after a win, 23.1% after a draw, 14.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.9%, 7.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our First League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.