5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Hull City vs Aston Villa Premier League prediction & result

MKM Stadium, Hull
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Hull City, 29% draw, 32% Aston Villa — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hull City at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hull City4%Draw92%Aston Villa4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Semi Ajayi
39'
🔁Elliot Stroudout: Sorba Thomas
63'
🔁Lewie Coyleout: Brooke Norton-Cuffy
64'
Lucas Gourna-Douath
67'
🔁Nobel Mendyout: Lucas Herrington
71'
75'
🔁George Hemmingsout: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
75'
🔁Emiliano Buendíaout: Alejandro Garnacho
75'
🔁Ian Maatsenout: Matteo Ruggeri
🔁Lucas Gourna-Douathout: Jens Hjertø-Dahl
82'
🔁Mohamed Belloumiout: Mohamed Ali Cho
82'
85'
🔁Nicolas Jacksonout: Tammy Abraham
85'
🔁Matty Cashout: Aaron Wan-Bissaka

Match stats — Hull City vs Aston Villa

26%Possession74%
11Shots13
4On target1
3Corners4

Line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1
  • 19K. TzolakisG
  • 2L. CoyleD
  • 6S. AjayiD
  • 15J. EganD
  • 32N. MendyD
  • 3R. GilesD
  • 10M. BelloumiM
  • 27R. SlaterM
  • 29L. Gourna-DouathM
  • 21E. StroudM
  • 9O. McBurnieF
Substitutes
  • 50M. ChoF
  • 47R. VazF
  • 36C. MouzakitisM
  • 18B. Norton-CuffyD
  • 7S. ThomasF
  • 14J. Hjertø-DahlM
  • 23M. TargettD
  • 22L. HerringtonD
  • 12D. PhillipsG
Coach: S. Jakirović
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Z. SuzukiG
  • 2M. CashD
  • 3V. LindelöfD
  • 5T. MingsD
  • 22I. MaatsenD
  • 8B. KamaraM
  • 6R. BarkleyM
  • 7J. McGinnM
  • 10E. BuendíaM
  • 53George HemmingsM
  • 11N. JacksonF
Substitutes
  • 18T. AbrahamF
  • 47Alysson EdwardF
  • 17A. GarnachoF
  • 40M. BizotG
  • 13M. RuggeriD
  • 14Pau TorresD
  • 29A. Wan-BissakaD
  • 19I. MbayeF
  • 26L. BogardeM
Coach: Unai Emery

Form going into Hull City vs Aston Villa

Hull City

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Coventry29 August 2026
  • W2-0Manchester United22 August 2026

Aston Villa

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Arsenal31 August 2026
  • L0-4away to Brighton23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Hull City102531111011
10Aston Villa103431417-313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hull City vs Aston Villa

  • 19 January 2019Aston Villa 2–2 Hull CityChampionship
  • 6 August 2018Hull City 1–3 Aston VillaChampionship
  • 31 March 2018Hull City 0–0 Aston VillaChampionship
  • 5 August 2017Aston Villa 1–1 Hull CityChampionship
  • 10 February 2015Hull City 2–0 Aston VillaPremier League

The full Hull City vs Aston Villa record →

Leading scorers: Hull City and Aston Villa

Hull City

GoalsAssists

  • M. Belloumi32

Aston Villa

GoalsAssists

  • N. Jackson61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hull City at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.