5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Premier League prediction & result

Craven Cottage, London
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Fulham 2-3 Crystal Palace.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Fulham, 29% draw, 33% Crystal Palace — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Fulham at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Fulham0%Draw4%Crystal Palace96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Josh King
11'
14'
•Daichi Kamada
35'
⚽Tyrick Mitchellassist: Eddie Nketiah
⚽Cesar Palacios Perez
42'
45'
🔁Eddie Nketiahout: Jörgen Strand Larsen
54'
⚽Tyrick Mitchell
🔁Cesar Palacios Perezout: Sander Berge
62'
74'
🔁Quinten Timberout: Will Hughes
74'
🔁Tyrick Mitchellout: Ben Chilwell
77'
⚽Ben Chilwellassist: Daichi Kamada
🔁Antonee Robinsonout: Ryan Sessegnon
79'
🔁Oscar Bobbout: Hugo Larsson
79'
🔁Shea Charlesout: Emile Smith Rowe
79'
🔁Alex Iwobiout: Rodrigo Muniz
83'
89'
🔁Yeremy Pinoout: Oscar Mingueza
89'
🔁Daichi Kamadaout: Dario Osorio

Match stats — Fulham vs Crystal Palace

65%Possession35%
25Shots10
6On target5
7Corners1

Line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1
  • 1B. LenoG
  • 21T. CastagneD
  • 5J. AndersenD
  • 3C. BasseyD
  • 33A. RobinsonD
  • 19S. CharlesM
  • 17A. IwobiM
  • 14Oscar BobbM
  • 24Joshua KingM
  • 8César PalaciosM
  • 7Gonzalo GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 23B. LecomteG
  • 22D. AffengruberD
  • 30R. SessegnonM
  • 16S. BergeM
  • 32E. Smith RoweM
  • 11KevinF
  • 15H. LarssonM
  • 20Manuel ÁngelM
  • 9Rodrigo MunizF
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1
  • 1D. HendersonG
  • 26C. RichardsD
  • 5A. DisasiD
  • 6J. CanvotD
  • 25A. KhalailiM
  • 23Q. TimberM
  • 20A. WhartonM
  • 3T. MitchellM
  • 18D. KamadaM
  • 10Yeremy PinoM
  • 9E. NketiahF
Substitutes
  • 19W. HughesM
  • 12Z. GozoF
  • 24D. OsorioM
  • 22J. Strand LarsenF
  • 30Óscar MinguezaD
  • 17T. TomiyasuD
  • 33B. ChilwellD
  • 28C. DoucouréM
  • 44W. BenítezG
Coach: P. Sage

Form going into Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Sunderland30 August 2026
  • L2-3Chelsea24 August 2026

Crystal Palace

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4Manchester City28 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Everton22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Fulham102441012-210
20Crystal Palace102171024-147

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Fulham vs Crystal Palace

  • 7 August 2026Fulham 1–2 Crystal PalaceFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 January 2026Crystal Palace 1–1 FulhamPremier League
  • 7 December 2025Fulham 1–2 Crystal PalacePremier League
  • 29 March 2025Fulham 0–3 Crystal PalaceFA Cup
  • 22 February 2025Fulham 0–2 Crystal PalacePremier League

The full Fulham vs Crystal Palace record →

The result against the call

Crystal Palace won 3–2 at Fulham. The model had leaned towards a win for Fulham at 38% and given a win for Crystal Palace 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Josh King 11' for Fulham, Tyrick Mitchell 35' for Crystal Palace, Cesar Palacios Perez 42' for Fulham, Tyrick Mitchell 54' for Crystal Palace, Ben Chilwell 77' for Crystal Palace.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.