Huracan
vs
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Huracan 2-1 Racing Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Huracan, 26% draw, 27% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Huracan 2.03, Racing Club 1.25.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Huracan vs Racing Club
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Huracan at 47% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Huracan vs Racing Club
Line-ups
- 1H. GalindezG
- 2L. BlondelD
- 6F. PereyraD
- 35M. PalazzoD
- 25C. IbanezD
- 15F. F. Waller MartiarenaM
- 5Rodrigo FernandezM
- 7O. CortesM
- 17J. Bisanz
- 24F. KalingerM
- 9J. CaicedoF
- 32S. MezaG
- 4F. VeraD
- 34I. CampoD
- 21H. NervoD
- 19L. LescanoD
- 51M. SotoD
- 20E. OjedaM
- 11T. PeraltaM
- 10O. RomeroM
- 25F. CambesesG
- 4E. CannavoD
- 2M. PerezD
- 6M. RojoD
- 19I. RodriguezD
- 33L. PerezM
- 11M. ZarachoM
- 16U. OrtegozaM
- 20G. A. LodicoM
- 32L. DiazF
- 9Adrian MartinezF
- 30M. TagliamonteG
- 18PachaD
- 14J. BarinagaD
- 43G. EscuderoD
- 38M. MartinezD
- 5M. KranevitterM
- 46A. TelloM
- 10M. MiljevicM
- 24A. FernandezM
Form going into Huracan vs Racing Club
Huracan
- D1-1away to Belgrano Cordoba4 September 2026
- D1-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 August 2026
- D0-0Deportivo Riestra23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin16 August 2026
- W2-0away to San Lorenzo9 August 2026
Racing Club
- L1-2Atletico Tucuman7 September 2026
- L1-3away to Independiente Rivadavia31 August 2026
- D1-1Boca Juniors24 August 2026
- L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Racing Club
- 14 September 2026Huracan 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 May 2026Racing Club 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 September 2025Huracan 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 March 2025Racing Club 0–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 3 August 2024Huracan 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 September 2023Racing Club 3–5 HuracanCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Huracan and Racing Club
Huracan
- J. Caicedo13 goals
Racing Club
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 2.03 goals for Huracan and 1.25 for Racing Club; the game produced 2 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: F. F. Waller Martiarena 53' (Huracan), U. Ortegoza 59' (Racing Club), J. Caicedo 78' (Huracan).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1168 correct results out of 2477 settled predictions (47%), with 234 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Huracan the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Huracan against 1.25 for Racing Club. Huracan's attack/defence rating is 0.82/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.52 for Racing Club.