12 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result

Borås Arena, Boras
Referee: Fredrik Klitte
Full time4 – 0

Final score: IF Elfsborg 4-0 Halmstad.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% IF Elfsborg, 25% draw, 16% Halmstad — fair odds of 1.69, 4.00 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

IF Elfsborg at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Momoh Ibrahim Kamaraassist: Leo Hakan Ostman
3'
⚽Pascal Gregor (OG)
41'
45'
🔁Omar Farajout: Marvin Illary
45'
🔁Ludvig Arvidssonout: Ajdin Zeljkovic
56'
Gabriel Wallentin
⚽Leo Hakan Ostmanassist: Niklas Hult
61'
🔁Ari Sigurpalssonout: Ossian nordvall
69'
🔁Arbër Zeneliout: Simon Hedlund
69'
🔁Rasmus Wikströmout: Sebastian Holmen
69'
77'
🔁Rami Kaibout: Oliver Kapsimalis
🔁Julius Beckout: Simon Olsson
77'
⚽Leo Hakan Ostmanassist: Alexander Jensen
78'
82'
🔁Rocco Asconeout: Malte Persson
82'
🔁Tom Trybullout: Niilo Mäenpää
🔁Niklas Hultout: Jonathan Esenga
87'

Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad

56%Possession44%
18Shots9
7On target2
8Corners4
3.33xG0.35

Goals against chances

IF Elfsborg4 from 3.33 xGmore than the chances were worth
Halmstad0 from 0.35 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1
  • 31I. PetterssonG
  • 16A. JensenD
  • 6R. WikströmD
  • 4T. IsherwoodD
  • 23N. HultD
  • 18J. MagnússonM
  • 19J. BeckM
  • 25A. SigurpálssonM
  • 29M. KamaraM
  • 9A. ZeneliM
  • 21L. ÖstmanF
Substitutes
  • 2Viggo ElfstromD
  • 3J. EsengaD
  • 15S. HedlundM
  • 8S. HolménD
  • 22D. KrasniqiF
  • 5O. NordvallM
  • 10S. OlssonM
  • 12T. SanderG
  • 11T. SilverholtF
Coach: Björn Hamberg
Halmstad 4-4-2
  • 1T. RönningG
  • 17A. BomanD
  • 5P. GregorD
  • 3G. WallentinD
  • 24R. KaibD
  • 11L. ArvidssonM
  • 6J. AllanssonM
  • 28T. TrybullM
  • 14H. CarneilM
  • 27R. AsconeF
  • 9O. FarajF
Substitutes
  • 22Oliver KapsimalisF
  • 8N. MäenpääM
  • 18Malte PerssonF
  • 19M. IllaryM
  • 16E. TõugjasD
  • 23A. ZeljkovicF
  • 25A. Damnjanovic NilssonM
  • 35A. WihedG
  • 4F. SchybergD
Coach: S. Baxter

Form going into IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad

IF Elfsborg

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Djurgardens IF20 September 2026
  • W1-0Kalmar FF13 September 2026
  • L1-2away to IF Brommapojkarna6 September 2026
  • W2-0Degerfors IF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to IFK Goteborg23 August 2026

Halmstad

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1AIK Stockholm20 September 2026
  • L1-2away to IFK Goteborg12 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Degerfors IF5 September 2026
  • W1-0Kalmar FF29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Orgryte IS22 August 2026

What these results say

  • IF Elfsborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Halmstad scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Halmstad conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5IF Elfsborg28121064231+1146
16Halmstad2855182052-3220

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad

  • 16 May 2026Halmstad 1–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 24 August 2025IF Elfsborg 1–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan
  • 25 May 2025Halmstad 1–4 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 15 September 2024Halmstad 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
  • 24 May 2024IF Elfsborg 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Halmstad

IF Elfsborg

GoalsAssists

  • L. Östman112

Halmstad

No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

IF Elfsborg beat Halmstad 4–0. The model had made a win for IF Elfsborg its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Momoh Ibrahim Kamara 3' for IF Elfsborg, Pascal Gregor (own goal) 41' for IF Elfsborg, Leo Hakan Ostman 61' for IF Elfsborg, Leo Hakan Ostman 78' for IF Elfsborg. On expected goals it finished 3.33–0.35.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave IF Elfsborg a 33.7% chance to finish in the top four: 39.5% after a win, 24.5% after a draw, 18.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.5%, 5.8 points higher than before the match.

For Halmstad the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 98.9% going in: 95.6% after a win, 98.9% after a draw, 99.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.6%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on IF Elfsborg v Halmstad has moved

First published on 28 Sep at 52% / 28% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 59% / 25% / 16%: the biggest move is IF Elfsborg's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. IF Elfsborg win59%▲ +7
  2. Draw25%▼ −3
  3. Halmstad win16%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.