16 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan prediction & result

Grimsta IP, Stockholm
Referee: Victor Wolf
Full time0 – 2

Final score: IF Brommapojkarna 0-2 Djurgardens IF.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% IF Brommapojkarna, 23% draw, 55% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 4.55, 4.35 and 1.82.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Djurgardens IF at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

IF Brommapojkarna0%Draw1%Djurgardens IF99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽Christos Almyrasassist: Adam Stahl
Simon Strand
35'
Rasmus Bergvall
37'
57'
🔁Christos Almyrasout: Patric Aslund
57'
🔁Alexander Anderssonout: Oskar Fallenius
🔁Anton Kurochkinout: Obilor Okeke
70'
75'
⚽Kristian Stromland Lienassist: Matias Siltanen
76'
🔁Bo Åsulv Heglandout: Peter Langhoff
76'
🔁Kristian Stromland Lienout: Charlie Rosenquist
🔁Wilmer Odefalkout: Kaare Barslund
76'
🔁Oskar Nils Cottonout: Lukas Björklund
81'
🔁Oliver Bergout: Luka Petrović
81'
Jordan simpson
83'

Match stats — IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF

53%Possession47%
12Shots5
3On target3
5Corners2
0.72xG0.7

Goals against chances

IF Brommapojkarna0 from 0.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Djurgardens IF2 from 0.70 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

IF Brommapojkarna 5-4-1
  • 1L. CavalliusG
  • 22R. BergvallD
  • 4O. CottonD
  • 23J. SimpsonD
  • 3A. TroelsenD
  • 6O. ZandénD
  • 9M. HansenM
  • 21S. StrandM
  • 20W. OdefalkM
  • 17A. KurochkinM
  • 10O. BergF
Substitutes
  • 35Carl AurellF
  • 27K. BarslundD
  • 30L. BjörklundM
  • 25D. BlaževićG
  • 24W. DerbaliM
  • 7O. OkekeM
  • 2P. VagićD
  • 32A. WahlundM
  • 16Luka PetrovicF
Coach: U. Kristiansson
Djurgardens IF 4-2-3-1
  • 35J. RinneG
  • 18A. StåhlD
  • 21M. MarquesD
  • 4J. Une-LarssonD
  • 2P. JohanssonD
  • 13D. StenssonM
  • 20M. SiltanenM
  • 7Christos AlmyrasM
  • 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
  • 28A. AnderssonM
  • 9K. LienF
Substitutes
  • 10Abdul AbdulmalikM
  • 14C. RosenquistF
  • 27S. RingbergF
  • 24M. LarssonM
  • 6P. LanghoffM
  • 29A. JohanssonM
  • 11O. FalleniusF
  • 8P. ÅslundM
  • 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF

IF Brommapojkarna

All competitions we cover

  • W6-5away to AIK Stockholm10 October 2026
  • L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
  • W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026

Djurgardens IF

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Hammarby FF11 October 2026
  • L1-2IF Elfsborg20 September 2026
  • W2-0Gais14 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Kalmar FF7 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Mjallby AIF3 September 2026

What these results say

  • IF Brommapojkarna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had three goals or more.
  • Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11IF Brommapojkarna2898113944-535
3Djurgardens IF2816485627+2952

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF

  • 22 May 2026Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 8 March 2026Djurgardens IF 2–0 IF BrommapojkarnaSvenska Cupen
  • 16 January 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs
  • 24 August 2025Djurgardens IF 1–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 29 May 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and Djurgardens IF

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Djurgardens IF

GoalsAssists

  • K. Lien166
  • Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
  • C. Rosenquist81

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Djurgardens IF won 2–0 at IF Brommapojkarna. The model had made a win for Djurgardens IF its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Christos Almyras 9' for Djurgardens IF, Kristian Stromland Lien 75' for Djurgardens IF. On expected goals it finished 0.72–0.70.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Djurgardens IF a 9.2% chance to finish top of the regular season: 12.4% after a win, 5.2% after a draw, 2.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.4%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Allsvenskan season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgardens IF has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 25% / 26% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 22% / 23% / 55%: the biggest move is Djurgardens IF's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. IF Brommapojkarna win22%▼ −3
  2. Draw23%▼ −3
  3. Djurgardens IF win55%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.