Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Talleres Cordoba 0-0 Independiente.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Talleres Cordoba, 31% draw, 32% Independiente — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Talleres Cordoba at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 32E. UnsainG
- 20A. SchottD
- 4M. CatalánD
- 6R. RiquelmeD
- 23G. BáezD
- 8F. FattoriM
- 5M. GalarzaM
- 37RickM
- 10G. BaroniM
- 11V. DepietriM
- 49V. DávilaF
- 7D. ValoyesF
- 31B. TreyM
- 15J. SforzaM
- 39L. F. OrtizM
- 1S. BarbiG
- 2T. ChamorroD
- 36E. ChiavassaF
- 19F. CristaldoM
- 26M. CaceresM
- 33R. ReyG
- 4S. AriasD
- 36S. ValdezD
- 35J. ArrayagoD
- 5N. BanegasD
- 16M. PerezM
- 23I. MarconeM
- 7S. MontielM
- 10L. CabralM
- 19M. AbaldoM
- 6E. ÁvilaF
- 13J. FedorcoD
- 20Facundo CruzM
- 29L. GodoyD
- 39R. MartinoD
- 32D. MartínezM
- 77S. MeleG
- 14Lautaro MillánM
- 9I. MoralesF
- 24J. PalaisM
Form going into Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Belgrano Cordoba4 October 2026
- L1-3away to Instituto Cordoba20 September 2026
- W2-1Union Santa Fe12 September 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo5 September 2026
- D0-0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 August 2026
Independiente
All competitions we cover
- L1-4Instituto Cordoba2 October 2026
- W2-1away to Union Santa Fe19 September 2026
- D1-1San Lorenzo13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago6 September 2026
- L0-3Gimnasia Mendoza30 August 2026
What these results say
- Talleres Cordoba failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Talleres Cordoba conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Independiente scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Independiente conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente
- 21 March 2026Independiente 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 July 2025Independiente 1–2 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 29 January 2025Talleres Cordoba 2–3 IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 May 2024Independiente 1–3 Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 April 2024Independiente 2–2 Talleres CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
Leading scorers: Talleres Cordoba and Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Independiente
GoalsAssists
- G. Ávalos115
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Talleres Cordoba and Independiente drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Talleres Cordoba at 37% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.40–0.84.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Talleres Cordoba a 77.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 64.1% after a win, 82.2% after a draw, 90.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 82.2%, 4.6 points higher than before the match.
For Independiente the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 10.5% going in: 19.0% after a win, 7.1% after a draw, 4.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 7.1%, 3.4 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Talleres Cordoba v Independiente has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 35% / 31% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Talleres Cordoba's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Talleres Cordoba win37%▲ +2
- Draw31%=
- Independiente win32%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.