8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Ipswich vs Bournemouth Premier League prediction & result

Portman Road, Ipswich
Referee: Simon Hooper
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Ipswich 1-2 Bournemouth.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Ipswich, 24% draw, 43% Bournemouth — fair odds of 3.03, 4.17 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Bournemouth at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽Francisco Evanilson
43'
Adam Smith
Julio Enciso
43'
43'
Marcus Tavernier
46'
⚽Leif Davis (OG)
🔁Jaden Philogene-Bidaceout: Jack Clarke
53'
🔁Emersonnout: Zian Flemming
54'
🔁Daizen Maedaout: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
65'
67'
🔁Ryan Christieout: Lewis Cook
68'
🔁Justin Kluivertout: Eli Kroupi
⚽Jack Clarke (pen)
73'
79'
🔁Adam Smithout: Bafode Diakite
🔁Florentino Luísout: Chuba Akpom
85'
85'
🔁Francisco Evanilsonout: Álvaro Rodríguez
85'
🔁Rayan Vitor Simplício Rochaout: Amine Adli
90+3'
Antonio Silva
Zian Flemming
90+9'

Match stats — Ipswich vs Bournemouth

56%Possession44%
10Shots15
2On target4
2Corners7
1.32xG2.18

Goals against chances

Ipswich1 from 1.32 xGabout what the chances were worth
Bournemouth2 from 2.18 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ipswich 4-2-3-1
  • 28C. WaltonG
  • 42A. OuattaraD
  • 6I. DiopD
  • 26D. O'SheaD
  • 3L. DavisD
  • 25E. PalaciosM
  • 12FlorentinoM
  • 38D. MaedaM
  • 10J. EncisoM
  • 11J. PhilogeneM
  • 19EmersonnF
Substitutes
  • 29C. AkpomF
  • 9Z. FlemmingF
  • 37K. ScherpenG
  • 2D. FurlongD
  • 24J. GreavesD
  • 7A. FatawuF
  • 5A. MatusiwaM
  • 23S. LukićM
  • 47J. ClarkeF
Coach: G. O'Neil
Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
  • 1Đ. PetrovićG
  • 15A. SmithD
  • 5J. HillD
  • 14António SilvaD
  • 3A. TruffertD
  • 12T. AdamsM
  • 10R. ChristieM
  • 37RayanM
  • 19J. KluivertM
  • 16M. TavernierM
  • 9EvanilsonF
Substitutes
  • 6J. SolerD
  • 18B. DiakitéD
  • 4L. CookM
  • 8A. ScottM
  • 11B. DoakF
  • 21A. AdliF
  • 22E. KroupiF
  • 30Á. RodríguezF
  • 20M. Di GregorioG
Coach: M. Rose

Form going into Ipswich vs Bournemouth

Ipswich

Premier League

  • D2-2away to Hull City31 October 2026
  • D1-1Nottingham Forest23 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Manchester City17 October 2026
  • W2-1Fulham10 October 2026

Bournemouth

Premier League

  • W2-0Leeds31 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Manchester United25 October 2026
  • W2-0Sunderland18 October 2026
  • L1-5away to Chelsea10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Ipswich scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Ipswich conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Ipswich.
  • Bournemouth scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Bournemouth won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Bournemouth kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Ipswich103251520-511
7Bournemouth104331614+215

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ipswich vs Bournemouth

  • 2 April 2025Bournemouth 1–2 IpswichPremier League
  • 8 December 2024Ipswich 1–2 BournemouthPremier League
  • 3 April 2015Ipswich 1–1 BournemouthChampionship
  • 22 November 2014Bournemouth 2–2 IpswichChampionship
  • 21 April 2014Ipswich 2–2 BournemouthChampionship
  • 29 December 2013Bournemouth 1–1 IpswichChampionship

The full Ipswich vs Bournemouth record →

Leading scorers: Ipswich and Bournemouth

Ipswich

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Bournemouth

GoalsAssists

  • Evanilson54
  • M. Tavernier50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bournemouth won 2–1 at Ipswich. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Bournemouth at 43%. The goals: Francisco Evanilson 5' for Bournemouth, Leif Davis (own goal) 46' for Bournemouth, Jack Clarke (penalty) 73' for Ipswich. On expected goals it finished 1.32–2.18.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ipswich a 19.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 14.1% after a win, 18.2% after a draw, 22.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.6%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

For Bournemouth the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 8.5% going in: 10.6% after a win, 7.6% after a draw, 5.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 10.6%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ipswich v Bournemouth has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 38% / 25% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 33% / 24% / 43%: the biggest move is Bournemouth's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Ipswich win33%▼ −5
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Bournemouth win43%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.