8 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij 1. SNL prediction & result

Nogometni park Brinje, Grosuplje
Referee: B. Mertik
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Brinje-Grosuplje 1-0 Aluminij.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Brinje-Grosuplje, 28% draw, 40% Aluminij — fair odds of 3.13, 3.57 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aluminij at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Brinje-Grosuplje96%Draw4%Aluminij0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

N. Jovicevic
8'
H. Vuckic
31'
⚽N. Jovicevic (pen)
45+2'
V. Vlahovic
46'
60'
🔁M. Vrbanecout: M. Mladenovic
60'
🔁B. Sussoout: P. Petrisko
🔁H. Vuckicout: T. Levanic
69'
🔁J. Kurticout: A. Zlatkov
77'
🔁N. Korenout: J. Kovac
77'
77'
🔁T. Jagicout: S. Rogina
84'
🔁B. Osujiout: A. Bloudek
84'
🔁R. Ramsakout: M. Bajraj
🔁N. Jovicevicout: R. Maher
86'
🔁A. Kurtovicout: R. Young
86'

Line-ups

Brinje-Grosuplje
  • 25J. Zrnec
  • 2K. Benkic
  • 8M. Roric
  • 9H. Vuckic
  • 10N. Jovicevic
  • 19S. Matjaz
  • 22N. Koren
  • 27J. Kurtic
  • 49A. Kurtovic
  • 72D. Ivkic
  • 77V. Vlahovic
Substitutes
  • 1T. Strasberger
  • 4A. Milisic
  • 5A. Zlatkov
  • 7V. Hojc
  • 11N. Zrnec
  • 14J. Kovac
  • 17T. Levanic
  • 18R. Maher
  • 21E. Milosevic
Coach: Goran Markovic
Aluminij
  • 31F. Raduha
  • 32V. Tezak
  • 6D. Simunic
  • 3D. Zajsek
  • 12A. Bekavac
  • 80H. Sorensen
  • 14T. Jagic
  • 10R. Ramsak
  • 13M. Vrbanec
  • 11B. Osuji
  • 45B. Susso
Substitutes
  • 1A. Mrezar
  • 5M. Boben
  • 18S. Rogina
  • 9A. Bloudek
  • 25M. Bajraj
  • 44P. Petrisko
  • 7M. Mladenovic
  • 20I. Svrznjak
  • 24T. Modric
Coach: Jure Arsic

Form going into Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij

Brinje-Grosuplje

1. SNL

  • D0-0away to Mura1 November 2026
  • D0-0Bravo29 October 2026
  • L0-5away to Koper18 October 2026
  • L1-2Maribor11 October 2026

Aluminij

1. SNL

  • W5-0Radomlje31 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Nafta28 October 2026
  • L0-1Olimpija Ljubljana16 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Celje10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Brinje-Grosuplje did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Brinje-Grosuplje failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Aluminij failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Aluminij failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Aluminij had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Brinje-Grosuplje154471625-916
7Aluminij154562114+717

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Aluminij

  • 21 August 2026Aluminij 4–2 Brinje-Grosuplje1. SNL
  • 13 May 2026Brinje-Grosuplje 0–1 AluminijCup
  • 12 May 2025Aluminij 4–2 Brinje-Grosuplje2. SNL
  • 3 November 2024Brinje-Grosuplje 1–0 Aluminij2. SNL
  • 11 March 2023Brinje-Grosuplje 0–2 Aluminij2. SNL
  • 26 August 2022Aluminij 1–0 Brinje-Grosuplje2. SNL

The result against the call

Brinje-Grosuplje beat Aluminij 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Aluminij at 40% and given a win for Brinje-Grosuplje 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: N. Jovicevic (penalty) 45+2' for Brinje-Grosuplje.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Brinje-Grosuplje a 23.3% chance to finish in the bottom one: 17.6% after a win, 23.6% after a draw, 27.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 17.6%, 5.7 points lower than before the match.

For Aluminij the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 16.8% going in: 20.2% after a win, 14.8% after a draw, 11.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.9%, 4.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Brinje-Grosuplje v Aluminij has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 37% / 27% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 28% / 40%: the biggest move is Brinje-Grosuplje's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Brinje-Grosuplje win32%▼ −5
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. Aluminij win40%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.