2 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Karpaty vs Kudrivka Premier League prediction & result

Ukraina Stadium, Lviv
Referee: Artem Mihaylyuk
Full time5 – 0

Final score: Karpaty 5-0 Kudrivka.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% Karpaty, 19% draw, 13% Kudrivka — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Karpaty at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Karpaty99%Draw1%Kudrivka0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

42'
Maksym Melnychuk
Ivan Calero
48'
⚽Yan Kostenkoassist: Roman Vantukh
50'
⚽Yan Kostenkoassist: Xeber Alkain Mitxelena
54'
56'
Bogdan Veklyak
61'
🔁Rodion Plaksaout: Kostyantyn Bychek
61'
🔁Faites Prévu Kaya Makossoout: Artur Dumanyuk
🔁Ivan Caleroout: Denys Miroshnichenko
64'
⚽Yan Kostenkoassist: Roman Vantukh
73'
77'
🔁Raymond Owusuout: Reynaldihno Verley
77'
🔁Oleksandr Beljaevout: Denys Svityukha
77'
🔁Yevgeniy Smyrnyiout: Kyrylo Sigeev
🔁Nazariy Rusynout: Fellipe Vieira
78'
🔁Roman Vantukhout: Yaroslav Karabin
78'
⚽Ambrosiy Chachuaassist: Yaroslav Karabin
80'
🔁Vladyslav Babogloout: Vitaliy Kholod
84'
🔁Ambrosiy Chachuaout: Volodymyr Antoniuk
84'
⚽Volodymyr Antoniukassist: Denys Miroshnichenko
87'
89'
Artur Dumanyuk

Match stats — Karpaty vs Kudrivka

52%Possession48%
14Shots5
6On target1
6Corners1

Line-ups

Karpaty 4-3-2-1
  • 80R. MysakG
  • 14Iván CaleroD
  • 4V. BabogloD
  • 55T. StetskovD
  • 73R. LyakhD
  • 8A. ChachuaM
  • 10MohaM
  • 31N. RusynM
  • 70Xeber AlkainM
  • 17R. VantukhM
  • 26Y. KostenkoF
Substitutes
  • 1D. MarchenkoG
  • 59E. KalinetsD
  • 44V. KholodD
  • 11D. MiroshnichenkoD
  • 21Bruno IglesiasM
  • 77JoaquineteF
  • 19Y. KarabinM
  • 9J. SéryF
  • 7Fellipe VieiraM
Coach: Fran Fernández
Kudrivka 4-4-2
  • 37A. YashkovG
  • 17M. SerdyukD
  • 22B. VeklyakD
  • 50D. SemenovD
  • 91M. MelnychukD
  • 42Y. PasichM
  • 8Y. SmyrnyiM
  • 14K. MakossoM
  • 21O. BelyaevM
  • 10R. PlaksaF
  • 24R. OwusuF
Substitutes
  • 66K. SigeevM
  • 20D. SvityukhaM
  • 9R. VerleyF
  • 6M. VechurkoM
  • 77K. BychekF
  • 71S. StenM
  • 23O. YushchenkoM
  • 19A. DumanyukM
  • 1K. LavutaG
Coach: Yevgen Zadorozhniy

Form going into Karpaty vs Kudrivka

Karpaty

Premier League

  • D0-0away to Chornomorets25 October 2026
  • D2-2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Dynamo Kyiv11 October 2026
  • D1-1Veres Rivne20 September 2026

Kudrivka

Premier League

  • L1-3away to Dynamo Kyiv23 October 2026
  • W4-1Bukovyna17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to LNZ Cherkasy11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Karpaty did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Karpaty conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Karpaty had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Karpaty11542228+1419
15Kudrivka122281229-178

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Karpaty vs Kudrivka

  • 8 March 2026Karpaty 1–1 KudrivkaPremier League
  • 29 August 2025Kudrivka 2–2 KarpatyPremier League

Leading scorers: Karpaty and Kudrivka

Karpaty

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Kostenko50
  • Xeber Alkain22

Kudrivka

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Smyrnyi30
  • D. Svityukha22
  • R. Owusu21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Karpaty beat Kudrivka 5–0. The model had made a win for Karpaty its most likely outcome, at 68%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Yan Kostenko 50' for Karpaty, Yan Kostenko 54' for Karpaty, Yan Kostenko 73' for Karpaty, Ambrosiy Chachua 80' for Karpaty, Volodymyr Antoniuk 87' for Karpaty.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Karpaty a 30.0% chance to finish in the top four: 32.1% after a win, 25.9% after a draw, 20.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 32.1%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.

For Kudrivka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 75.0% going in: 63.8% after a win, 73.1% after a draw, 77.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.0%, 2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Karpaty v Kudrivka has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 73% / 17% / 10% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 68% / 19% / 13%: the biggest move is Karpaty's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Karpaty win68%▼ −5
  2. Draw19%▲ +2
  3. Kudrivka win13%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.