2 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv Premier League prediction & result

Hirnyk Stadium, Kryvyi Rih
Referee: Aleksandr Shandor
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Kryvbas KR 0-2 Dynamo Kyiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Kryvbas KR, 24% draw, 47% Dynamo Kyiv — fair odds of 3.45, 4.17 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dynamo Kyiv at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kryvbas KR0%Draw1%Dynamo Kyiv99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

18'
⚽Matviy Ponomarenkoassist: Andriy Yarmolenko
Denys Pidgurskyi
33'
Volodymyr Vilivald
42'
43'
⚽Andriy Yarmolenko (pen)
45+2'
Volodymyr Brazhko
Giovany Herbert
45+2'
45+5'
Andriy Yarmolenko
45+6'
Mykola Shaparenko
Joseph Jones
45+6'
🔁Assan Seckout: Cyprian Kachwele
63'
🔁Roy Ben Naviout: Dmytro Godya
63'
64'
🔁Shola Ogundanaout: Nazar Voloshyn
64'
🔁Oleksandr Pikhalyonokout: Mykola Mykhaylenko
🔁Giovany Herbertout: Oleksandr Kamenskyi
74'
🔁Bar Linout: Yackson Stiven Rivas
74'
80'
Matviy Ponomarenko
82'
🔁Matviy Ponomarenkoout: Pierre Mounguengue
82'
🔁Mykola Shaparenkoout: Justin Lonwijk
🔁Yaroslav Shevchenkoout: Santiago Cuiza
86'
86'
Nazar Voloshyn
90'
🔁Oleksandr Tymchykout: Kristian Bilovar

Match stats — Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv

47%Possession53%
0On target0

Line-ups

Kryvbas KR 5-4-1
  • 12O. KemkinG
  • 22João MachadoD
  • 6D. PidgurskyiD
  • 4V. VilivaldD
  • 15J. JonesD
  • 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento BorgesD
  • 18B. LinM
  • 8Y. ShevchenkoM
  • 17R. NawiM
  • 10A. HerbertM
  • 14Assane SeckF
Substitutes
  • 27D. GodyaM
  • 11Cyprian KachweleF
  • 1B. KhomaG
  • 23Danylo SychevG
  • 28S. CuizaD
  • 5V. KulbachukD
  • 2Oleksii TovarnytskyiD
  • 21Oleksandr KamenskyiM
  • 7Y. RivasF
Coach: O. Petrakov
Dynamo Kyiv 4-1-4-1
  • 1H. BushchanG
  • 18O. TymchykD
  • 94T. KędzioraD
  • 66A. ThiareD
  • 44V. DubinchakD
  • 6V. BrazhkoM
  • 7A. YarmolenkoM
  • 8O. PikhalyonokM
  • 10M. ShaparenkoM
  • 16S. OgundanaM
  • 11M. PonomarenkoF
Substitutes
  • 23N. MalyshD
  • 47Gustavo PradoM
  • 9N. VoloshynM
  • 99P. MounguengueF
  • 42K. BahF
  • 91M. MykhaylenkoM
  • 21J. LonwijkM
  • 15V. RubchynskyiM
  • 34V. ZakharchenkoD
Coach: M. Kędziorek

Form going into Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv

Kryvbas KR

Premier League

  • D0-0away to Bukovyna25 October 2026
  • L0-3LNZ Cherkasy18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Polessya18 September 2026

Dynamo Kyiv

Premier League

  • W3-1Kudrivka23 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Polessya18 October 2026
  • W1-0Karpaty11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Kryvbas KR10145816-87
3Dynamo Kyiv11722169+723

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo Kyiv

  • 26 April 2026Kryvbas KR 5–6 Dynamo KyivPremier League
  • 26 October 2025Dynamo Kyiv 4–0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 12 April 2025Kryvbas KR 0–2 Dynamo KyivPremier League
  • 6 October 2024Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 Kryvbas KRPremier League
  • 18 May 2024Dynamo Kyiv 3–1 Kryvbas KRPremier League

Leading scorers: Kryvbas KR and Dynamo Kyiv

Kryvbas KR

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Dynamo Kyiv

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ponomarenko60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dynamo Kyiv won 2–0 at Kryvbas KR. The model had made a win for Dynamo Kyiv its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Matviy Ponomarenko 18' for Dynamo Kyiv, Andriy Yarmolenko (penalty) 43' for Dynamo Kyiv. Sent off: Andriy Yarmolenko (Dynamo Kyiv) 45+5'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kryvbas KR a 37.7% chance to finish in the bottom four: 28.3% after a win, 36.3% after a draw, 43.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.1%, 5.4 points higher than before the match.

For Dynamo Kyiv the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 63.2% going in: 69.2% after a win, 60.4% after a draw, 55.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.2%, 6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 31% / 24% / 45% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 29% / 24% / 47%: the biggest move is Kryvbas KR's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Kryvbas KR win29%▼ −2
  2. Draw24%=
  3. Dynamo Kyiv win47%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.