Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Zorya Luhansk, 24% draw, 22% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Zorya Luhansk at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Line-ups
- 1O. SaputinG
- 44I. PerdutaD
- 55JordanD
- 77B. KushnirenkoD
- 39Artem MachelyukD
- 88S. BahM
- 8K. DryshlyukM
- 18M. BoykoM
- 27D. JelavićM
- 11I. GorbachF
- 30I. NesterenkoF
- 14A. GlushchenkoM
- 6D. PoparaM
- 21J. BašićM
- 3V. KravetsD
- 4G. EskinjaD
- 5A. JanjiÄD
- 40ÍtaloD
- 25V. RybakG
- 9A. SlesarM
- 71N. FedotovG
- 4V. MorozD
- 13S. RepajD
- 77Nil CochD
- 97O. KlymetsD
- 27D. VashchenkoM
- 28A. LipovuzM
- 70I. KyryukhantsevM
- 8M. MyronyukM
- 59A. KozakM
- 15M. EvpakF
- 20V. SydunF
- 6K. KovaletsM
- 22A. VavshkoG
- 3S. GrygorashchukD
- 17Ivan BenderaM
- 14Raúl TavaresM
- 25vitalii horinD
- 10Jon CeberioM
- 11A. BoykoD
Form going into Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Premier League
- D0-0away to Shakhtar Donetsk24 October 2026
- W2-1Chornomorets17 October 2026
- W3-1away to Livyi Bereh12 October 2026
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Premier League
- L1-2FC Kharkiv24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Karpaty18 October 2026
- L1-3away to Kolos Kovalivka10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
- 12 April 2026Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
- 3 October 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
Leading scorers: Zorya Luhansk and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
GoalsAssists
- A. Kozak33
- V. Sydun30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zorya Luhansk beat Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–0. The model had made a win for Zorya Luhansk its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: sallieu bah (penalty) 55' for Zorya Luhansk.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zorya Luhansk a 9.3% chance to finish in the top four: 11.2% after a win, 7.0% after a draw, 4.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.2%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.
For Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 38.2% going in: 27.7% after a win, 37.2% after a draw, 41.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.4%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.