Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Kheybar Khorramabad 1-2 Sepahan FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Kheybar Khorramabad, 26% draw, 43% Sepahan FC — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sepahan FC at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W1-0away to Gol Gohar23 October 2026
- W2-1Esteghlal Khuzestan18 October 2026
- D0-0Persepolis FC14 October 2026
Sepahan FC
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W4-0Mes Shahr-e Babak25 October 2026
- D0-0away to Shams Azar Qazvin18 October 2026
- W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 1 | Sepahan FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC
- 6 February 2026Sepahan FC 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 21 December 2025Sepahan FC 1–3 Kheybar KhorramabadHazfi Cup
- 26 September 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 0–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 26 January 2025Sepahan FC 2–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 23 August 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 1–2 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 30 September 2019Kheybar Khorramabad 0–3 Sepahan FCHazfi Cup
The result against the call
Sepahan FC won 2–1 at Kheybar Khorramabad. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sepahan FC at 43%. The goals: K. Taheri 3' for Sepahan FC, O. Noorafkan 45+4' for Sepahan FC, A. Farsi 87' for Kheybar Khorramabad. Sent off: M. Ghanbari (Kheybar Khorramabad) 86'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepahan FC a 40.7% chance to finish in the top two: 69.4% after a win, 23.5% after a draw, 6.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.4%, 28.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.