30 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Takhti Stadium, Khorramabad
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Kheybar Khorramabad 1-2 Sepahan FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 31% Kheybar Khorramabad, 26% draw, 43% Sepahan FC — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sepahan FC at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kheybar Khorramabad0%Draw3%Sepahan FC97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽K. Taheriassist: M. Lotfi
A. Farsi
42'
S. D. Baghaki
45+3'
45+4'
⚽O. Noorafkan
🔁S. D. Baghakiout: M. Ghanbari
51'
53'
A. Hajieydi
🔁A. M. Khanzadiout: A. Teymouri
70'
74'
🔁M. Limouchiout: A. Shafiedoost
🔁M. Mohebiout: T. Shariati
78'
🔁I. Moradiout: A. Maleki
78'
M. Ghanbari
86'
⚽A. Farsi
87'
90+9'
A. Shafiedoost

Line-ups

Sepahan FC
Coach: Moharram Navidkia

Form going into Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC

Kheybar Khorramabad

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W1-0away to Gol Gohar23 October 2026
  • W2-1Esteghlal Khuzestan18 October 2026
  • D0-0Persepolis FC14 October 2026

Sepahan FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W4-0Mes Shahr-e Babak25 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Shams Azar Qazvin18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Kheybar Khorramabad123541415-114
1Sepahan FC12822237+1626

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan FC

  • 6 February 2026Sepahan FC 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 21 December 2025Sepahan FC 1–3 Kheybar KhorramabadHazfi Cup
  • 26 September 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 0–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 26 January 2025Sepahan FC 2–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 23 August 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 1–2 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 30 September 2019Kheybar Khorramabad 0–3 Sepahan FCHazfi Cup

The result against the call

Sepahan FC won 2–1 at Kheybar Khorramabad. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sepahan FC at 43%. The goals: K. Taheri 3' for Sepahan FC, O. Noorafkan 45+4' for Sepahan FC, A. Farsi 87' for Kheybar Khorramabad. Sent off: M. Ghanbari (Kheybar Khorramabad) 86'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepahan FC a 40.7% chance to finish in the top two: 69.4% after a win, 23.5% after a draw, 6.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.4%, 28.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.