27 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 FC Lugano.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 21% draw, 47% FC Lugano — fair odds of 3.13, 4.76 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv (20 Aug) →

FC Lugano went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Lugano at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Tel Aviv7%Draw89%FC Lugano4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Antonios Papadopoulos
•Ido Shahar
29'
36'
Mattia Zanotti
58'
Mattia Zanotti
58'
Mattia Zanotti
63'
🔁D. Dos Santosout: D. Kelvin
63'
🔁K. Behrensout: D. Moncada
🔁T. Asanteout: N. Ben Harush
65'
🔁E. Soklerout: E. Madmon
65'
68'
Renato Steffen
⚽D. Peretz (pen)
69'
Mohamed Camara
70'
79'
⚽D. Moncadaassist: Y. Cimignani
🔁I. Shaharout: H. Layous
81'
82'
🔁R. Steffenout: B. Karimov
82'
🔁A. Papadopoulosout: A. Kendouci
90+2'
Uran Bislimi

Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano

60%Possession40%
20Shots9
7On target2
6Corners5

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-3-3
  • 22O. MelikaG
  • 6T. AsanteD
  • 5M. CamaraD
  • 13R. ShlomoD
  • 3R. RevivoD
  • 42D. PeretzM
  • 28I. SissokhoM
  • 36I. ShaharM
  • 77O. DavidaF
  • 9E. SoklerF
  • 29H. VarelaF
Substitutes
  • 51S. SaadiaG
  • 90R. MishpatiG
  • 21N. Ben HarushD
  • 41I. Ben HamoD
  • 25S. RosenD
  • 18D. GlazerM
  • 30I. NoyM
  • 59L. AssrasM
  • 60I. Ben SimonF
Coach: Kenny Miller
FC Lugano 3-5-2
  • 16D. von BallmoosG
  • 6A. PapadopoulosD
  • 17L. MaiD
  • 3H. DelcroixD
  • 46M. ZanottiM
  • 25U. BislimiM
  • 8A. GrgicM
  • 27D. Dos SantosM
  • 21Y. CimignaniM
  • 11R. SteffenF
  • 91K. BehrensF
Substitutes
  • 28F. GebhardtG
  • 39C. NdiayeG
  • 4D. KelvinD
  • 2B. KarimovD
  • 18J. BichselD
  • 26M. MarquesD
  • 23G. AjdinM
  • 14A. KendouciM
  • 22B. D. Castro EspinosaF
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to FC Lugano20 August 2026
  • W3-1away to CSKA Sofia13 August 2026
  • L0-3CSKA Sofia6 August 2026
  • W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol30 July 2026
  • W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026

FC Lugano

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Maccabi Tel Aviv20 August 2026
  • D2-2away to NSI Runavik13 August 2026
  • W5-0FC Zurich9 August 2026
  • W2-0NSI Runavik6 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Grasshoppers2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Maccabi Tel Aviv scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Maccabi Tel Aviv had three goals or more.
  • FC Lugano went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Lugano scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Lugano won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
2Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al107303110+2124
1FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference League3300114+79

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · UEFA Europa Conference League

Head-to-head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Lugano

  • 20 August 2026FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz72
  • E. Sokler51
  • E. Madmon33

FC Lugano

GoalsAssists

  • K. Behrens71
  • Y. Cimignani34

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Lugano drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Lugano at 47% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: D. Peretz (penalty) 69' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, D. Moncada 79' for FC Lugano. Sent off: Mattia Zanotti (FC Lugano) 58'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.