27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Inver Park, Larne
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Larne, 31% draw, 43% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 3.85, 3.23 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. First leg: Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 Larne (20 Aug) →

Lincoln Red Imps FC went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Lincoln Red Imps FC at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Larne0%Draw1%Lincoln Red Imps FC99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

57'
🔁A. Coulibalyout: F. Alvarez
🔁D. Sloanout: C. McKendry
69'
🔁P. O'Neillout: M. Gibson
69'
Montel Gibson
71'
Matthew Lusty
73'
🔁M. Lustyout: K. O'Hara
77'
🔁J. Simpsonout: J. McEneff
77'
79'
🔁A. Mulaout: N. Pinto
80'
Bernardo Lopes
82'
⚽K. Gomezassist: J. Eersteling
84'
⚽M. Toledanoassist: Nano
Montel Gibson
87'
Montel Gibson
87'
Chris Gallagher
90+1'
90+3'
Nico Pinto
🔁R. Dohertyout: B. Magee
105'
107'
🔁G. Torrillaout: Joe
119'
Jaylan Hankins
🔁out: J. Ukek
120'
120+3'
🔁K. Gomezout: A. Romero Morillo
120'
⚽M. Toledano (pen)

Match stats — Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

11%Possession89%
2On target8
7Corners7

Line-ups

Larne 4-3-3
  • 1R. FergusonG
  • 23T. CosgroveD
  • 26D. BentM
  • 3M. RidleyD
  • 4A. DonnellyD
  • 15R. DohertyM
  • 6C. GallagherM
  • 47J. SimpsonM
  • 25D. SloanM
  • 9P. O'NeillF
  • 30M. LustyF
Substitutes
  • 2L. WallaceD
  • 7C. McKendryM
  • 8M. Randall
  • 14B. MageeM
  • 16J. CarneyG
  • 17J. UkekM
  • 19K. O'Hara
  • 22J. McEneffM
  • 45M. GibsonF
Coach: Gary Haveron
Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-5-2
  • 1Nauzet SantanaG
  • 21NanoM
  • 8MandiM
  • 66J. EerstelingD
  • 9K. GomezF
  • 3C. RutjensD
  • 6B. LopesD
  • 22G. TorrillaM
  • 17A. CoulibalyM
  • 44M. ToledanoF
  • 10A. MulaM
Substitutes
  • 4N. Pinto
  • 5T. CardozoD
  • 7L. CasciaroF
  • 11A. Romero Morillo
  • 13J. Hankins
  • 20E. BrittoD
  • 23JoeM
  • 27M. HammG
  • 32F. AlvarezF
Coach: Juan Bezares

Form going into Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

Larne

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC20 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Iberia 199911 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Iberia 19994 August 2026
  • L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda29 July 2026
  • L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda21 July 2026

Lincoln Red Imps FC

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Larne20 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Omonia Nicosia13 August 2026
  • D1-1Omonia Nicosia6 August 2026
  • D0-0Mjallby AIF28 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Mjallby AIF21 July 2026

What these results say

  • Larne failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Lincoln Red Imps FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 20 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 LarneUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

The result against the call

Lincoln Red Imps FC won 3–0 at Larne. The model had made a win for Lincoln Red Imps FC its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: K. Gomez 82' for Lincoln Red Imps FC, M. Toledano 84' for Lincoln Red Imps FC, M. Toledano (penalty) 120' for Lincoln Red Imps FC. Sent off: Montel Gibson (Larne) 87'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.