Las Palmas
vs
FC Andorra
Segunda División prediction
Our model says: Las Palmas 2–1 FC Andorra
The model makes it 45% Las Palmas, 26% draw, 29% FC Andorra — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Las Palmas 1.79, FC Andorra 1.32.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Las Palmas's rating is built from 57 Segunda División matches and FC Andorra's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,082 matches.
Key facts
- Las Palmas are 11th on 20 points from 13 games; FC Andorra are 19th on 11 points from 13 games — Segunda División.
- Las Palmas are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Eldense.
- FC Andorra are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Almeria.
- Last 4 meetings: level at 1 win each, 2 draws; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended FC Andorra 5–1 Las Palmas.
More Segunda División predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Las Palmas vs FC Andorra
Has the model earned this number?
Las Palmas at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Las Palmas vs FC Andorra
Las Palmas
Segunda División
- W2-0Eldense9 November 2026
- W3-2away to Oviedo2 November 2026
- W1-0Real Sociedad II24 October 2026
- L0-3Castellón17 October 2026
- L1-3away to Mallorca11 October 2026
FC Andorra
Segunda División
- L1-2away to Almeria14 November 2026
- D2-2away to Tenerife2 November 2026
- L2-3Burgos26 October 2026
- L0-2away to Girona18 October 2026
- W1-0Castellón11 October 2026
What these results say
- Las Palmas scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Las Palmas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Las Palmas vs FC Andorra
- 10 May 2026FC Andorra 5–1 Las PalmasSegunda División
- 17 August 2025Las Palmas 1–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 3 March 2023FC Andorra 0–0 Las PalmasSegunda División
- 29 August 2022Las Palmas 2–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
Leading scorers: Las Palmas and FC Andorra
Las Palmas
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Las Palmas a 0.2% chance of the title and FC Andorra 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Las Palmas the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.79 expected goals for Las Palmas against 1.32 for FC Andorra. Las Palmas's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.42 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.56 for FC Andorra.
How the model reaches 45% for Las Palmas to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Las Palmas to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Las Palmas's ratings change nothing and FC Andorra's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- Both sides at this match's level44%+1
- Las Palmas's ratings44%±0
- FC Andorra's ratings45%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Las Palmas at home · FC Andorra away
League matches only, Segunda División, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda División matches this season: Las Palmas 13, FC Andorra 13.
Las Palmas score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); FC Andorra have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Las Palmas
- at Cordoba6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 31%
- vs Celta de Vigo II13 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 52%
- at Sabadell20 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 29%
FC Andorra
- vs Oviedo6 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 42%
- at Eldense13 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 35%
- vs Cadiz20 Dec · Segunda Divisiónwin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.