4 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Las Palmas vs Leganes Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Las Palmas 0-0 Leganes.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Las Palmas, 29% draw, 30% Leganes — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Las Palmas at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Las Palmas4%Draw93%Leganes3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Iñaki González
6'
Alex Suárez
21'
22'
Ismael Gharbi
🔁Alex Suarezout: E. Clemente
60'
🔁K. Rodriguezout: E. Loiodice
60'
🔁M. Fusterout: R. Cruz
60'
Rafael Cruz
63'
66'
🔁Z. Buurmeesterout: D. Rodriguez
66'
🔁R. Penaout: Alex Sancris
66'
🔁A. Morataout: P. Soko
🔁S. Ramirezout: Ivan Jaime
69'
81'
Álex Sancris
83'
🔁Y. Kechtaout: Sule
🔁J. Betancorout: E. Romero
87'

Match stats — Las Palmas vs Leganes

50%Possession50%
3Shots10
1On target2
3Corners4
0.28xG1.17

Goals against chances

Las Palmas0 from 0.28 xGabout what the chances were worth
Leganes0 from 1.17 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Las Palmas 4-4-2
  • 13J. CaroG
  • 25V. PezzolesiD
  • 4Alex SuarezD
  • 15J. HerzogD
  • 21G. BonfantiD
  • 11T. MiyashiroM
  • 20K. RodriguezM
  • 6I. GonzalezM
  • 19S. RamirezM
  • 7J. BetancorF
  • 14M. FusterF
Substitutes
  • 35A. SuarezG
  • 41J. ValverdeG
  • 5E. ClementeD
  • 23A. RodriguezD
  • 24Ivan JaimeM
  • 12E. LoiodiceM
  • 16M. AcimovicM
  • 26A. BassingaM
  • 30I. MedinaF
Coach: Ruben de la Barrera
Leganes 3-2-4-1
  • 13L. ZidaneG
  • 6G. Aguilar LopezD
  • 5I. MiquelD
  • 2MarvelD
  • 10Z. BuurmeesterM
  • 20M. AtienzaM
  • 11N. GarciaF
  • 17I. GharbiM
  • 8Y. KechtaM
  • 7R. PenaF
  • 21A. MorataF
Substitutes
  • 1R. FernandezG
  • 31N. LozanoG
  • 3J. MonteroD
  • 4R. PulidoD
  • 29D. HamansenyaD
  • 14D. RodriguezM
  • 9A. MillanF
  • 22Alex SancrisF
  • 18A. CamposF
Coach: Ruben Albes

Form going into Las Palmas vs Leganes

Las Palmas

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5away to Girona29 August 2026
  • W2-0away to AD Ceuta FC22 August 2026
  • W2-1Albacete16 August 2026

Leganes

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Eldense29 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Oviedo22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Girona16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Las Palmas136251921-220
15Leganes144371424-1015

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Las Palmas vs Leganes

  • 17 April 2026Las Palmas 2–0 LeganesSegunda División
  • 20 September 2025Leganes 0–1 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • 18 May 2025Las Palmas 0–1 LeganesLa Liga
  • 25 August 2024Leganes 2–1 Las PalmasLa Liga
  • 18 February 2023Leganes 0–0 Las PalmasSegunda División
  • 9 September 2022Las Palmas 1–0 LeganesSegunda División

The result against the call

Las Palmas and Leganes drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Las Palmas at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.28–1.17.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.