AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: AD Ceuta FC 0-2 Celta de Vigo II.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% AD Ceuta FC, 28% draw, 33% Celta de Vigo II — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AD Ceuta FC at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II
AD Ceuta FC
- L0-3away to Mallorca30 August 2026
- L0-2Las Palmas22 August 2026
- L1-5away to FC Andorra15 August 2026
Celta de Vigo II
- L1-2Castellón31 August 2026
- W4-2FC Andorra24 August 2026
- D0-0away to Cadiz15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 |
| 14 | Celta de Vigo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II
- 20 May 2023Celta de Vigo II 1–1 AD Ceuta FCPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
- 18 September 2022AD Ceuta FC 1–3 Celta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Leading scorers: AD Ceuta FC and Celta de Vigo II
AD Ceuta FC
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Celta de Vigo II
- B. Somuah2 goals
- A. Marin2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.