5 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Eldense vs Mallorca Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Eldense 0-0 Mallorca.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Eldense, 29% draw, 41% Mallorca — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mallorca at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eldense3%Draw92%Mallorca5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
Martin Valjent
45+1'
⚽Alex Sala (pen)
49'
Antonio Raíllo
David Ruiz Montero
50'
🔁J. Martinezout: A. Olabarrieta
58'
62'
🔁T. Latoout: A. Soumahoro
62'
🔁J. Cerdaout: P. Torre
62'
🔁Z. Luvumboout: A. Liso
🔁M. Carmonaout: M. Nieto
64'
73'
🔁A. Fuentesout: A. Buksa
🔁J. Martinout: C. Guirao
76'
🔁Fidelout: I. Recio
77'
🔁G. Machoout: R. Lopez
77'
83'
🔁A. Salaout: G. Fernandez
90+4'
Adrian Liso

Match stats — Eldense vs Mallorca

44%Possession56%
8Shots11
3On target6
5Corners8

Line-ups

Eldense 4-2-3-1
  • 1R. VilaG
  • 17J. ClementeD
  • 5A. G. SerradellD
  • 4F. SmandD
  • 21D. RuizD
  • 18G. MachoM
  • 14J. SmithM
  • 10FidelM
  • 24J. MartinezM
  • 23J. MartinM
  • 9M. CarmonaF
Substitutes
  • 36D. Bernabeu
  • 13JuanpaG
  • 2I. RecioD
  • 3J. LariosD
  • 12R. LopezM
  • 15C. GuiraoM
  • 11M. NietoF
  • 29D. RodriguesF
  • 33A. OlabarrietaF
Coach: Claudio Barragan
Mallorca 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. TenasG
  • 34M. CalatayudD
  • 24M. ValjentD
  • 21A. RailloD
  • 3T. LatoD
  • 8M. MorlanesM
  • 10S. DarderM
  • 11Z. LuvumboM
  • 7A. SalaM
  • 19J. CerdaM
  • 18A. FuentesF
Substitutes
  • 25Pichu CuellarG
  • 13L. BergstromG
  • 15J. DonaldD
  • 22A. SoumahoroD
  • 4D. LopezD
  • 29L. OrejuelaD
  • 6A. SanchezM
  • 2G. FernandezM
  • 20P. TorreM
Coach: Luis Garcia

Form going into Eldense vs Mallorca

Eldense

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Leganes29 August 2026
  • D2-2Cadiz22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Almeria17 August 2026

Mallorca

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
  • W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Eldense134271319-614
5Mallorca136521810+823

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Eldense and Mallorca

Eldense

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Mallorca

GoalsAssists

  • Fuentes71

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Eldense and Mallorca drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Mallorca at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.