12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Le Havre vs Angers Ligue 1 prediction & result

Le Havre
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Le Havre 0-0 Angers.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Le Havre, 29% draw, 32% Angers — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Le Havre at 39% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Le Havre4%Draw92%Angers4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
Jordan Lefort
🔁Sota Nakamuraout: Rayan Fofana
63'
71'
🔁Bané Diattaout: Harouna Djibirin
71'
🔁Amine El Ouazzaniout: Prosper Peter
78'
🔁Carlens Arcusout: Lillian Rao-Lisoa
79'
🔁Jim Allevinahout: Usman Simbakoli
🔁Josh Majaout: Ismail Bouneb
80'
🔁Djibril Ouziadout: Enzo Koffi
80'
🔁Kaito Mizutaout: Daren Mosengo
85'
88'
🔁Amine Sbaïout: Louis Mouton
Ahmed Touba
90+4'
🔁Mbwana Ally Samattaout: Hakim Dongopandji
90+5'

Match stats — Le Havre vs Angers

46%Possession54%
15Shots9
6On target1
4Corners6

Line-ups

Le Havre 4-3-3
  • 93G. GallonG
  • 12E. JelertD
  • 15A. SekoD
  • 5A. ToubaD
  • 20D. OuziadD
  • 17K. MizutaM
  • 26S. EbonogM
  • 7A. RichardsonM
  • 30S. NakamuraF
  • 9J. MajaF
  • 25M. SamattaF
Substitutes
  • 24G. ZohouriM
  • 97M. NdiayeD
  • 78D. MosengoM
  • 27E. Koffi VinetteF
  • 38R. FofanaF
  • 44I. BounebM
  • 23V. SassoD
  • 40Alex TeixeiraG
  • 33Hakim DongopandjiF
Coach: D. Digard
Angers 4-2-3-1
  • 1Anthony LopesG
  • 2C. ArcusD
  • 4O. CamaraD
  • 21J. LefortD
  • 17J. KaluluD
  • 14Y. BelkhdimM
  • 8B. van den BoomenM
  • 18J. AllevinahM
  • 36Bane DiattaM
  • 10A. SbaïM
  • 19A. El OuazzaniF
Substitutes
  • 16M. ZingaG
  • 26A. BermontM
  • 24E. BiumlaM
  • 11Djibirin HarounaF
  • 20Marius LouërD
  • 7U. SimbakoliF
  • 6L. MoutonM
  • 9P. PeterF
  • 27L. Rao-LisoaD
Coach: S. Gilli

Form going into Le Havre vs Angers

Le Havre

  • L1-2Stade Brestois 295 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyon29 August 2026
  • L0-1Monaco23 August 2026

Angers

  • L1-2Rennes6 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Auxerre29 August 2026
  • L0-2Lille23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Le Havre402224-22
11Angers411245-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Le Havre vs Angers

  • 12 September 2026Le Havre 0–0 AngersLigue 1
  • 18 April 2026Angers 1–1 Le HavreLigue 1
  • 4 January 2026Le Havre 2–1 AngersLigue 1
  • 26 July 2025Le Havre 0–0 AngersFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 February 2025Angers 1–1 Le HavreLigue 1
  • 1 December 2024Le Havre 0–1 AngersLigue 1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.