12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Paris FC vs Lyon Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Paris FC 0-0 Lyon.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Paris FC, 27% draw, 24% Lyon — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Paris FC at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Paris FC6%Draw91%Lyon3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

63'
Loïs Openda
Diego Coppola
69'
75'
🔁Loïs Opendaout: Keito Nakamura
Hamari Traore
77'
🔁Pablo Pagisout: Moses Simon
79'
🔁Luca Koleoshoout: Rudy Matondo
79'
🔁Ilan Kebbalout: Jonathan Ikoné
87'
87'
🔁Mads Bidstrupout: Tanner Tessmann
87'
🔁Ernest Nuamahout: Kail Boudache

Match stats — Paris FC vs Lyon

56%Possession44%
6Shots5
4On target1
4Corners3

Line-ups

Paris FC 3-4-2-1
  • 1K. TrappG
  • 31S. CherguiD
  • 42D. CoppolaD
  • 14H. TraoréD
  • 17A. CamaraM
  • 20M. LopezM
  • 33P. Lees-MelouM
  • 15L. KoleoshoM
  • 10I. KebbalM
  • 7P. PagisM
  • 9L. SinayokoF
Substitutes
  • 93J. IkonéF
  • 25Y. KoréD
  • 4V. MarchettiM
  • 23R. MatondoM
  • 5M. MbowD
  • 16O. NkambadioG
  • 27M. SimonF
  • 18O. SissokoF
  • 8E. ZabiM
Coach: L. Rosenior
Lyon 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. GreifG
  • 13Z. AthekameD
  • 20F. BacherD
  • 19M. NiakhatéD
  • 16AbnerD
  • 2M. BidstrupM
  • 23T. MortonM
  • 7E. NuamahM
  • 10P. ŠulcM
  • 8C. TolissoM
  • 17L. OpendaF
Substitutes
  • 99N. NarteyM
  • 11Keito NakamuraF
  • 3N. TagliaficoD
  • 6T. TessmannM
  • 40R. DescampsG
  • 21R. KluivertD
  • 26K. BoudacheF
  • 22Clinton MataD
  • 18K. MerahM
Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Form going into Paris FC vs Lyon

Paris FC

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Marseille6 September 2026
  • W3-0Nice30 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Estac Troyes22 August 2026

Lyon

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Auxerre4 September 2026
  • D1-1Le Havre29 August 2026
  • L1-2Fenerbahçe26 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Toulouse22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Fenerbahçe18 August 2026

What these results say

  • Lyon scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Lyon conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Lyon.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Paris FC106221710+720
5Lyon10523159+617

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Paris FC vs Lyon

  • 8 March 2026Lyon 1–1 Paris FCLigue 1
  • 29 October 2025Paris FC 3–3 LyonLigue 1

Leading scorers: Paris FC and Lyon

Paris FC

GoalsAssists

  • L. Sinayoko95

Lyon

GoalsAssists

  • E. Nuamah41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Paris FC and Lyon drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Paris FC at 49% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.