12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Auxerre vs Nice Ligue 1 prediction & result

Auxerre
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Auxerre 1-0 Nice.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Auxerre, 30% draw, 32% Nice — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Auxerre at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Auxerre96%Draw4%Nice0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kevin Danois
44'
🔁Remy Labeau Lascaryout: Romain Faivre
71'
72'
🔁Niels Nkounkouout: Ali Abdi
74'
Djibril Coulibaly
⚽Cameron Archerassist: Christ Makosso
74'
🔁Danny Namasoout: Naouirou Ahamada
81'
🔁Arthur Piedfortout: Pierre Ekwah
82'
86'
🔁Sepe Elye Wahiout: Sofiane Diop
86'
🔁Mohamed Amouraout: Nathan Ngoumou
86'
🔁Axel Witselout: Hicham Boudaoui
86'
🔁Mohamed Abdelmoneimout: Isak Jansson
🔁Cameron Archerout: Rayan Mandengue
87'

Match stats — Auxerre vs Nice

32%Possession68%
11Shots12
7On target4
3Corners8

Line-ups

Auxerre 3-4-3
  • 23M. DiopG
  • 15C. MakossoD
  • 4A. TuanzebeD
  • 92C. AkpaD
  • 27L. SyM
  • 46A. PiedfortM
  • 5K. DanoisM
  • 22F. OppegårdM
  • 10D. NamasoF
  • 9C. ArcherF
  • 3R. Labeau LascaryF
Substitutes
  • 35E. LegrosD
  • 1P. NardiG
  • 77Aristide ZossouM
  • 8N. AhamadaM
  • 20S. DiomandéD
  • 34L. DioubateM
  • 17P. EkwahM
  • 21R. FaivreM
  • 32R. MandengueD
Coach: W. Still
Nice 3-4-2-1
  • 23Y. DioufG
  • 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  • 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
  • 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
  • 92J. ClaussM
  • 39D. CoulibalyM
  • 28A. WitselM
  • 27N. NkounkouM
  • 7G. HeinM
  • 11E. WahiM
  • 9M. AmouraF
Substitutes
  • 87E. PereiraM
  • 6H. BoudaouiM
  • 77T. BoulhendiG
  • 38A. CamaraM
  • 10S. DiopM
  • 2A. AbdiD
  • 21I. JanssonF
  • 41D. MoranaF
  • 29N. NgoumouF
Coach: O. Pantaloni

Form going into Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Lyon4 September 2026
  • L1-3Angers29 August 2026
  • L2-5away to Lens22 August 2026

Nice

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Le Mans5 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Paris FC30 August 2026
  • D0-0Lorient22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Auxerre103161324-1110
6Nice105231512+317

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Auxerre vs Nice

  • 10 May 2026Auxerre 2–1 NiceLigue 1
  • 23 August 2025Nice 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1
  • 14 March 2025Nice 1–1 AuxerreLigue 1
  • 18 August 2024Auxerre 2–1 NiceLigue 1
  • 6 January 2024Nice 0–0 AuxerreCoupe de France

The full Auxerre vs Nice record →

Leading scorers: Auxerre and Nice

Auxerre

GoalsAssists

  • C. Archer60

Nice

GoalsAssists

  • E. Wahi62

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Auxerre beat Nice 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Auxerre at 38%. The goal: Cameron Archer 74' for Auxerre.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.