Leeds sit 3rd in the Premier League on 8 points from 4 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 3. The model rates their attack at 1.07× the league average and their defence at 0.89× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 wins and 2 draws, most recently beating Newcastle 4-1 at home. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 1.75 and conceding 0.75 per game across 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. That leaves them 4 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 10th-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 4 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 44%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Leeds sit 3 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W4-1Newcastle14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Brighton5 September 2026
- D1-1Brentford30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nottingham Forest22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Leeds vs Crystal Palace
Leeds host Crystal Palace at Elland Road, Leeds on 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. The model makes it 44% Leeds, 27% draw and 29% Crystal Palace, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.97 expected goals for Leeds against 1.35. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Full preview and model analysis for Leeds vs Crystal Palace
Recent meetings with Crystal Palace
- 15 March 2026Crystal Palace 0–0 LeedsPremier League
- 20 December 2025Leeds 4–1 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 9 April 2023Leeds 1–5 Crystal PalacePremier League
- 9 October 2022Crystal Palace 2–1 LeedsPremier League
- 22 July 2022Crystal Palace 1–1 LeedsFriendlies Clubs
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- D. Calvert-Lewin2 goals1 assists
- J. Bogle2 goals
League goals this season.