Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Motor Lublin 0-2 Piast Gliwice.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Motor Lublin, 26% draw, 28% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Motor Lublin at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
Motor Lublin
- D1-1away to Korona Kielce22 August 2026
- W1-0GKS Katowice16 August 2026
Piast Gliwice
- D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026
- L3-4Wieczysta Kraków15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
- 20 February 2026Piast Gliwice 1–2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
- 16 August 2025Motor Lublin 0–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 9 May 2025Motor Lublin 1–4 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 8 November 2024Piast Gliwice 2–3 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice
Motor Lublin
- K. Czubak5 goals
Piast Gliwice
- Leandro Sanca4 goals1 assists
- Hugo Vallejo3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.