29 August 2026, 12:45 UTC

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Motor Lublin 0-2 Piast Gliwice.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Motor Lublin, 26% draw, 28% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Motor Lublin at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Motor Lublin0%Draw5%Piast Gliwice95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
Quentin Boisgard
🔁Kikisout: M. Legowski
62'
🔁M. Aikoout: Fabio Ronaldo
62'
65'
🔁J. Labojkoout: O. Lesniak
🔁T. Santosout: K. Lukoszek
72'
78'
⚽Juande
🔁I. Rodriguesout: F. Haxha
82'
83'
🔁H. Vallejoout: J. Felix
84'
🔁Q. Boisgardout: O. Maziarz
84'
🔁S. Ntamackout: A. Katsantonis
90+1'
🔁I. Limaout: S. Mucha
90'
⚽S. Mucha

Match stats — Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

42%Possession58%
15Shots14
1On target6
6Corners5
1.01xG1.57

Goals against chances

Motor Lublin0 from 1.01 xGless than the chances were worth
Piast Gliwice2 from 1.57 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
  • 33G. TratnikG
  • 29T. SantosD
  • 18B. BereszynskiD
  • 39M. BartosD
  • 24F. LubereckiD
  • 2P. MeyerM
  • 30M. NdiayeM
  • 8KikisM
  • 7I. RodriguesM
  • 70M. AikoM
  • 10K. CzubakF
Substitutes
  • 71M. PopaG
  • 4T. PlavoticD
  • 5A. AkatovD
  • 13K. BrzozowskiD
  • 6M. LegowskiM
  • 16F. LewandowskiM
  • 19K. SzymanekM
  • 23F. HaxhaM
  • 17K. LukoszekM
Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
  • 75D. GrilG
  • 99E. TwumasiD
  • 5JuandeD
  • 4J. CzerwinskiD
  • 36J. LewickiD
  • 90I. LimaM
  • 17Q. BoisgardM
  • 27J. LabojkoM
  • 80H. VallejoM
  • 19S. NtamackF
  • 11L. SancaF
Substitutes
  • 12M. Mendes-DudzinskiG
  • 47J. GrelichG
  • 28F. BorowskiD
  • 3E. FikajD
  • 15L. PitanD
  • 77S. MuchaM
  • 31O. LesniakM
  • 18O. MaziarzM
  • 10A. KatsantonisF
Coach: Daniel Mysliwiec

Form going into Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

Motor Lublin

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Korona Kielce22 August 2026
  • W1-0GKS Katowice16 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Pogon Szczecin8 August 2026
  • L1-2Jagiellonia31 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Widzew Łódź26 July 2026

Piast Gliwice

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026
  • L3-4Wieczysta Kraków15 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Lech Poznan9 August 2026
  • W4-3Wisla Krakow1 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Zaglebie Lubin27 July 2026

What these results say

  • Motor Lublin scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Motor Lublin failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Motor Lublin conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Piast Gliwice conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Piast Gliwice failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Motor Lublin145452224-219
7Piast Gliwice146442420+422

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice

  • 20 February 2026Piast Gliwice 1–2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 16 August 2025Motor Lublin 0–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 9 May 2025Motor Lublin 1–4 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
  • 8 November 2024Piast Gliwice 2–3 Motor LublinEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Motor Lublin and Piast Gliwice

Motor Lublin

GoalsAssists

  • K. Czubak70
  • M. Ndiaye43

Piast Gliwice

GoalsAssists

  • Hugo Vallejo51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Piast Gliwice won 2–0 at Motor Lublin. The model had leaned towards a win for Motor Lublin at 46% and given a win for Piast Gliwice 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Juande 78' for Piast Gliwice, S. Mucha 90' for Piast Gliwice. On expected goals it finished 1.01–1.57.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.