28 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Orlen Stadion
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Wisla Plock 0-2 Korona Kielce.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Wisla Plock, 27% draw, 26% Korona Kielce — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wisla Plock at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wisla Plock0%Draw1%Korona Kielce99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽M. Fassbenderassist: W. Dlugosz
Dion Gallapeni
46'
49'
⚽M. Stepinskiassist: W. Dlugosz
🔁D. Gallapeniout: O. Kobacki
56'
🔁S. Hamulicout: L. Sekulski
56'
🔁J. Jimenezout: F. Hiszpanski
67'
75'
🔁M. Stepinskiout: D. Bak
76'
🔁M. Remacleout: Nono
🔁K. Pomorskiout: D. Juric
82'
85'
🔁M. Fassbenderout: K. Ciszek
88'
🔁N. Barczakout: K. Sotiriou

Match stats — Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

58%Possession42%
18Shots10
4On target4
10Corners0
2.25xG0.92

Goals against chances

Wisla Plock0 from 2.25 xGless than the chances were worth
Korona Kielce2 from 0.92 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wisla Plock 3-4-3
  • 12R. LeszczynskiG
  • 4M. Haglind-SangreD
  • 35M. KaminskiD
  • 34A. SilvaD
  • 21Z. RogeljM
  • 17A. RadwanskiM
  • 6K. PomorskiM
  • 19D. GallapeniM
  • 11J. JimenezF
  • 10S. HamulicF
  • 23P. KunF
Substitutes
  • 26J. BurekG
  • 44P. MisiakD
  • 41M. WieckowskiD
  • 16F. HiszpanskiM
  • 7O. KobackiM
  • 91G. KuchkoM
  • 24N. RogowskiD
  • 20L. SekulskiF
  • 9D. JuricF
Coach: Adam Majewski
Korona Kielce 4-3-3
  • 1X. DziekonskiG
  • 71W. DlugoszD
  • 23S. RubezicD
  • 2A. MosorD
  • 6M. PieczekD
  • 35K. JakubczykM
  • 8M. RemacleM
  • 18P. HellebrandM
  • 67N. Barczak
  • 14M. StepinskiF
  • 22M. FassbenderF
Substitutes
  • 87R. MamlaG
  • 24B. SmolarczykD
  • 44K. SotiriouD
  • 10NonoM
  • 11K. MatuszewskiD
  • 9S. DavidovicM
  • 21K. CiszekD
  • 20K. MinuczycM
  • 99D. BakF
Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Form going into Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Wisla Plock

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5away to GKS Katowice23 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow7 August 2026
  • D0-0Widzew Łódź31 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026

Korona Kielce

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Motor Lublin22 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Widzew Łódź15 August 2026
  • D1-1Legia Warszawa8 August 2026
  • L0-2Gornik Zabrze1 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Jagiellonia25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Wisla Plock failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Wisla Plock conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Wisla Plock had three goals or more.
  • Korona Kielce conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Korona Kielce failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Korona Kielce had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Wisla Plock134361421-715
11Korona Kielce145361421-718

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

  • 8 December 2025Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 19 July 2025Wisla Plock 2–0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 4 March 2023Korona Kielce 1–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 20 August 2022Wisla Plock 2–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 8 July 2022Korona Kielce 0–2 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 September 2021Korona Kielce 4–3 Wisla PlockCup

Leading scorers: Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce

Wisla Plock

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Korona Kielce

GoalsAssists

  • M. Stępiński60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Korona Kielce won 2–0 at Wisla Plock. The model had leaned towards a win for Wisla Plock at 47% and given a win for Korona Kielce 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Fassbender 21' for Korona Kielce, M. Stepinski 49' for Korona Kielce. On expected goals it finished 2.25–0.92.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.