17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Leyton Orient vs Blackpool League One prediction & result

Brisbane Road, London
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Leyton Orient 2-0 Blackpool.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Leyton Orient, 28% draw, 30% Blackpool — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Leyton Orient at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Leyton Orient99%Draw1%Blackpool0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
Josh Bowler
⚽William Forresterassist: Alexander George Henry Gilbert
31'
38'
Zachary Ashworth
🔁Isaac Haydenout: Idris El Mizouni
45'
🔁Aaron Connollyout: Dane Scarlett
63'
🔁Yusuf Akhamrichout: Charlie Wellens
64'
Idris El Mizouni
67'
🔁Jaze Kabiaout: Armando Dobra
71'
72'
🔁George Honeymanout: Leighton Clarkson
73'
🔁Jerry Yatesout: Dale Taylor
73'
🔁Tom Bloxhamout: Dion Charles
74'
Finley Munroe
⚽Dane Scarlett (pen)
76'
80'
🔁Finley Munroeout: Ilmari Niskanen

Match stats — Leyton Orient vs Blackpool

38%Possession62%
14Shots16
6On target4
4Corners11
2.28xG0.87

Goals against chances

Leyton Orient2 from 2.28 xGabout what the chances were worth
Blackpool0 from 0.87 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Leyton Orient 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. BaxterG
  • 12A. GilchristD
  • 5J. OlowuD
  • 6W. ForresterD
  • 3J. MorrisD
  • 14I. HaydenM
  • 2F. StevensM
  • 22Y. AkhamrichM
  • 20A. GilbertM
  • 10A. ConnollyM
  • 9J. KabiaF
Substitutes
  • 25Charlie Gerard Richard WellensM
  • 34P. ChineduD
  • 17A. DobraF
  • 8I. El MizouniM
  • 13Noah PhillipsG
  • 18D. ScarlettF
  • 27T. SpringettF
Coach: R. Wellens
Blackpool 4-1-3-2
  • 1B. Peacock-FarrellG
  • 28J. WilliamsD
  • 4O. CaseyD
  • 3Z. AshworthD
  • 26Finley MunroeD
  • 8A. MorganM
  • 11J. BowlerM
  • 17Karoy AndersonM
  • 10G. HoneymanM
  • 12J. YatesF
  • 14T. BloxhamF
Substitutes
  • 6J. BrownM
  • 19D. CharlesF
  • 7L. ClarksonM
  • 15H. CoulsonD
  • 2A. LyonsD
  • 21I. NiskanenM
  • 18D. TaylorF
Coach: I. Evatt

Form going into Leyton Orient vs Blackpool

Leyton Orient

League One

  • D0-0away to Bradford10 October 2026

Blackpool

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Cambridge United10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Leyton Orient135261914+517
20Blackpool133371722-512

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Leyton Orient vs Blackpool

  • 25 April 2026Blackpool 1–0 Leyton OrientLeague One
  • 22 November 2025Leyton Orient 1–1 BlackpoolLeague One
  • 15 March 2025Blackpool 1–2 Leyton OrientLeague One
  • 9 November 2024Leyton Orient 3–0 BlackpoolLeague One
  • 27 February 2024Leyton Orient 1–0 BlackpoolLeague One

Leading scorers: Leyton Orient and Blackpool

Leyton Orient

GoalsAssists

  • J. Kabia42

Blackpool

No player in League One's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Leyton Orient beat Blackpool 2–0. The model had made a win for Leyton Orient its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: William Forrester 31' for Leyton Orient, Dane Scarlett (penalty) 76' for Leyton Orient. On expected goals it finished 2.28–0.87.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Leyton Orient a 7.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 5.6% after a win, 8.4% after a draw, 9.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 5.6%, 2.1 points lower than before the match.

For Blackpool the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 12.6% going in: 9.2% after a win, 11.8% after a draw, 14.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.5%, 1.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.