17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Plymouth vs Huddersfield League One prediction & result

Home Park, Plymouth
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Plymouth 0-2 Huddersfield.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Plymouth, 26% draw, 30% Huddersfield — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Plymouth at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Plymouth0%Draw1%Huddersfield99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Derensili Sanches Fernandesassist: Joe Taylor
🔁Jack Mackenzieout: Matthew Sorinola
45'
55'
⚽Bojan Radulovicassist: Bali Mumba
🔁Bradley Ibrahimout: Tyreeq Bakinson
62'
🔁Ronan Curtisout: Xavier Amaechi
62'
🔁Aribim Peppleout: Oliver Irow
63'
75'
🔁Bojan Radulovicout: Ashley Fletcher
81'
🔁Joe Taylorout: Marcus Harness
🔁Caleb Wattsout: Jared Rendle
90+1'

Match stats — Plymouth vs Huddersfield

58%Possession42%
13Shots20
1On target8
2Corners8
0.85xG3.04

Goals against chances

Plymouth0 from 0.85 xGless than the chances were worth
Huddersfield2 from 3.04 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Plymouth 4-4-2
  • 1M. MahoneyG
  • 45W. HardingD
  • 15A. MitchellD
  • 22A. HartridgeD
  • 3Jack MackenzieD
  • 11R. CurtisM
  • 23B. IbrahimM
  • 7H. WhiteM
  • 17C. WattsM
  • 9W. EvansF
  • 27A. PeppleF
Substitutes
  • 10X. AmaechiF
  • 19T. BakinsonM
  • 14O. IrowF
  • 5Julio PleguezueloD
  • 42Jared RendleF
  • 29M. SorinolaD
  • 21James StorerG
Coach: Tom Cleverley
Huddersfield 3-4-2-1
  • 1M. YoungG
  • 5J. LowD
  • 15I. BowatD
  • 23S. RoughanD
  • 22I. BronkhorstM
  • 8A. CollinsM
  • 20C. HumphreysM
  • 19B. MumbaM
  • 30D. Sanches FernandesM
  • 9J. TaylorM
  • 25B. RadulovićF
Substitutes
  • 10M. HarnessF
  • 7L. GoochD
  • 11A. FletcherF
  • 14E. BrierleyM
  • 31J. AlnwickG
  • 2L. SørensenD
  • 34S. TovideF
Coach: Martin Drury

Form going into Plymouth vs Huddersfield

Plymouth

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1AFC Wimbledon10 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Leyton Orient3 October 2026
  • L0-1Burton Albion26 September 2026

Huddersfield

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Sheffield Wednesday10 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Burton Albion3 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Plymouth157262122-123
1Huddersfield148512812+1629

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Plymouth vs Huddersfield

  • 21 March 2026Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
  • 8 November 2025Huddersfield 3–1 PlymouthLeague One
  • 13 January 2024Huddersfield 1–1 PlymouthChampionship
  • 5 August 2023Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldChampionship
  • 9 January 2021Huddersfield 2–3 PlymouthFA Cup

Leading scorers: Plymouth and Huddersfield

Plymouth

GoalsAssists

  • A. Pepple50

Huddersfield

GoalsAssists

  • J. Taylor102
  • D. Sanches Fernandes76

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Huddersfield won 2–0 at Plymouth. The model had leaned towards a win for Plymouth at 44% and given a win for Huddersfield 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Derensili Sanches Fernandes 6' for Huddersfield, Bojan Radulovic 55' for Huddersfield. On expected goals it finished 0.85–3.04.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Plymouth a 53.6% chance to finish in the top four: 57.4% after a win, 53.2% after a draw, 47.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.6%, 6 points lower than before the match.

For Huddersfield the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 35.2% going in: 40.7% after a win, 34.4% after a draw, 32.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.7%, 5.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Plymouth v Huddersfield has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Plymouth's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Plymouth win44%▲ +3
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Huddersfield win30%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.