30 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Lyngby vs Randers FC Superliga prediction & result

Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Lyngby 2-1 Randers FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Lyngby, 26% draw, 30% Randers FC — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Lyngby at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lyngby96%Draw4%Randers FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Frederik Gytkjærassist: Simon Colyn
23'
33'
Mike Themsen
41'
Elies Mahmoud
45+3'
⚽Mohamed Sankoh
45'
🔁Amady Camaraout: Kasper Junker
45'
🔁Felix Sommerout: Axel Henriksson
53'
🔁Sabil Osman Hansenout: Simon Stüker
🔁Frederik Gytkjærout: Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji
63'
⚽Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedejiassist: Isak Thorvaldsson
69'
Simon Colyn
70'
73'
Axel Henriksson
78'
🔁Nikolas Langberg Dyhrout: Martin André Sjølstad
🔁Gustav Leone Frauloout: Oliver Højer
82'
82'
🔁Mohamed Sankohout: Warren Caddy
🔁Isak Thorvaldssonout: Arttu Hoskonen
87'
🔁Zidan Sertdemirout: Mathias Hebo Rasmussen
87'
🔁Simon Colynout: Daniel Kristjansson
87'

Match stats — Lyngby vs Randers FC

51%Possession49%
15Shots20
8On target4
3Corners4
2.76xG2.25

Goals against chances

Lyngby2 from 2.76 xGless than the chances were worth
Randers FC1 from 2.25 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lyngby 4-4-2
  • 31D. KochenG
  • 2O. BuurD
  • 30M. FischerD
  • 12David Helgi AronssonD
  • 25R. TytensD
  • 19G. FrauloM
  • 14L. SandgravM
  • 16Z. SertdemirM
  • 7S. ColynM
  • 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
  • 26F. GytkjærF
Substitutes
  • 4C. AllenD
  • 35M. AndersonF
  • 8M. HeboM
  • 27A. HoskonenD
  • 5Oliver HøjerM
  • 6D. KristjánssonD
  • 22S. NgaboM
  • 1J. ÆgidiusG
  • 17W. SteindorssonM
Coach: Mikkel Jespersen
Randers FC 4-4-2
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HøeghD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 31F. SommerM
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 30M. SankohF
  • 36A. CamaraF
Substitutes
  • 5O. JonesD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 21A. HenrikssonM
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 33C. EdudziF
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 77K. JunkerF
  • 15M. SjølstadD
Coach: R. Bertelsen

Form going into Lyngby vs Randers FC

Lyngby

Superliga

  • L2-3away to FC Midtjylland25 October 2026
  • D3-3FC Nordsjaelland18 October 2026
  • L2-5away to Brondby11 October 2026

Randers FC

Superliga

  • L1-3Brondby23 October 2026
  • D0-0away to AC Horsens16 October 2026
  • L0-2Viborg11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Lyngby142571929-1011
11Randers FC143291427-1311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lyngby vs Randers FC

  • 9 August 2026Randers FC 2–0 LyngbySuperliga
  • 21 February 2025Lyngby 0–0 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 6 October 2024Randers FC 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
  • 5 May 2024Lyngby 2–1 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 31 March 2024Randers FC 6–2 LyngbySuperliga
  • 23 February 2024Randers FC 1–0 LyngbySuperliga

Leading scorers: Lyngby and Randers FC

Lyngby

GoalsAssists

  • S. Colyn53

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen51
  • M. Sankoh41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Lyngby beat Randers FC 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Lyngby at 44%. The goals: Frederik Gytkjær 23' for Lyngby, Mohamed Sankoh 45+3' for Randers FC, Markus Adeniyi Anderson Adedeji 69' for Lyngby. On expected goals it finished 2.76–2.25.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Lyngby a 78.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 70.0% after a win, 81.7% after a draw, 88.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 70.0%, 8 points lower than before the match.

For Randers FC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 67.1% going in: 53.6% after a win, 67.9% after a draw, 76.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 76.5%, 9.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Lyngby v Randers FC has moved

First published on 16 Oct at 38% / 27% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 26% / 30%: the biggest move is Lyngby's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Lyngby win44%▲ +6
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. Randers FC win30%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.