26 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Odense Superliga prediction & result

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: Svendsen·Frederik
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Copenhagen 1-1 Odense.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% FC Copenhagen, 22% draw, 17% Odense — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Copenhagen at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Copenhagen6%Draw91%Odense3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
Fredrik Ulvestad
34'
⚽Noah Ganausassist: Topi Keskinen
🔁Robert Silvaout: Maher Carrizo
45'
🔁Alex Králout: Viktor Dadason
61'
61'
🔁Christian Gammelgaardout: Jann-Fiete Arp
🔁Mads Emil Madsenout: Thomas Delaney
61'
🔁Marcos Lópezout: Birger Meling
61'
74'
🔁Rasmus Falk Jensenout: Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg
74'
🔁Noah Ganausout: Jay-Roy Grot
⚽Birger Meling
77'
79'
Jay-Roy Grot
86'
🔁Topi Keskinenout: Anssi Suhonen
86'
🔁Ismahila Ouédraogoout: Ulrik Jenssen

Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Odense

68%Possession32%
22Shots7
10On target2
4Corners2
2.27xG0.47

Goals against chances

FC Copenhagen1 from 2.27 xGless than the chances were worth
Odense1 from 0.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. RamajG
  • 2F. BeijmoD
  • 4A. SørensenD
  • 6A. MarkgráfD
  • 15M. LópezD
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 21M. Emil MadsenM
  • 33A. KrálM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 16RobertM
  • 14A. CorneliusF
Substitutes
  • 31R. RúnarssonG
  • 24B. MelingD
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 44G. VianneyF
  • 28Hunor Vajk NémethM
  • 13R. HuescasD
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 39V. DadasonF
  • 7M. CarrizoF
Coach: B. Svensson
Odense 4-2-3-1
  • 16V. MyhraG
  • 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenD
  • 4Julian Andreas PauliD
  • 13J. Berthel AskouD
  • 15M. McCoyD
  • 8R. FalkM
  • 6F. UlvestadM
  • 14C. GammelgaardM
  • 22I. OuédraogoM
  • 9T. KeskinenM
  • 17N. GanausF
Substitutes
  • 7J. ArpF
  • 31J. GrotF
  • 1M. HansenG
  • 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
  • 26Lasse LegolasF
  • 24M. RaknebergD
  • 10A. SuhonenM
  • 3A. SørensenD
  • 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
Coach: T. Thomasberg

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Odense

FC Copenhagen

Superliga

  • D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026

Odense

Superliga

  • W2-1Brondby18 October 2026
  • D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Copenhagen1410222912+1732
6Odense144551619-317

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Odense

  • 6 September 2026Odense 0–5 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 22 April 2026FC Copenhagen 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
  • 15 March 2026Odense 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 21 February 2026Odense 2–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 23 August 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 OdenseSuperliga
  • 17 March 2024Odense 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Odense

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi72
  • B. Meling51

Odense

GoalsAssists

  • N. Ganaus40
  • J. Arp40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Copenhagen and Odense drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Copenhagen at 61% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Noah Ganaus 34' for Odense, Birger Meling 77' for FC Copenhagen. On expected goals it finished 2.27–0.47.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Copenhagen a 43.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 47.7% after a win, 36.5% after a draw, 30.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 36.5%, 6.5 points lower than before the match.

For Odense the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 22.0% going in: 36.9% after a win, 22.6% after a draw, 18.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 22.6%, 0.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Copenhagen v Odense has moved

First published on 12 Oct at 63% / 21% / 16% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 61% / 22% / 17%: the biggest move is FC Copenhagen's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. FC Copenhagen win61%▼ −2
  2. Draw22%▲ +1
  3. Odense win17%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.