12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC

Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia Serie B prediction & result

Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve Stabia.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Vicenza Virtus, 28% draw, 30% Juve Stabia — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vicenza Virtus at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Vicenza Virtus5%Draw92%Juve Stabia3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Giuseppe Cuomo
49'
⚽Tommaso Corazzaassist: Silvio Merkaj
52'
64'
🔁Davide Buglioout: Federico Artioli
64'
🔁Leonardo Candelloneout: Giusepe Sibilli
🔁Mattia Valotiout: Giulio Pellizzari
69'
🔁Giuseppe Cuomoout: Andrea Papetti
69'
🔁L. Caferriout: Alessandro Pietrelli
69'
70'
•Nermin Karić
73'
🔁Nicola Pataneout: Fabio Maistro
73'
🔁Nermin Karićout: Thomas Battistella
Tommaso Corazza
76'
78'
⚽Antonio Di Nardo (pen)
🔁Claudio Morraout: Filippo Alessio
82'
87'
🔁Christian Pierobonout: Kevin Piscopo
🔁Loris Zontaout: Alessandro Bellemo
87'

Match stats — Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia

42%Possession58%
7Shots14
2On target7
8Corners5

Line-ups

Vicenza Virtus 3-5-2
  • 16R. GagnoG
  • 28L. CaferriD
  • 14G. CuomoD
  • 23N. BrighentiD
  • 29L. ZontaM
  • 4M. CarraroM
  • 10M. ValotiM
  • 27T. SandonM
  • 21T. CorazzaM
  • 9C. MorraF
  • 33S. MerkajF
Substitutes
  • 30M. VescoviD
  • 99A. PietrelliM
  • 5R. MarchizzaD
  • 7N. RautiF
  • 44R. TalaricoM
  • 68E. TantalocchiG
  • 24Filippo AlessioF
  • 26G. PellizzariM
  • 6M. LeverbeD
Coach: F. Gallo
Juve Stabia 4-3-3
  • 23P. BoerG
  • 96T. MaggioniD
  • 19N. PietrangeliD
  • 6M. BellichD
  • 73G. ScuderiD
  • 17N. KarićM
  • 8D. BuglioM
  • 10C. PierobonM
  • 7Nicola PatanèF
  • 9Antonio Di NardoF
  • 27L. CandelloneF
Substitutes
  • 80F. ArtioliM
  • 4M. BaldiD
  • 5T. BattistellaM
  • 87D. BettellaD
  • 20L. CaccavoF
  • 25T. DouglasD
  • 24J. KumiM
  • 37F. MaistroM
  • 11K. PiscopoF
Coach: P. De Giorgio

Form going into Vicenza Virtus vs Juve Stabia

Vicenza Virtus

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Virtus Entella6 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Avellino29 August 2026
  • W3-2Catanzaro21 August 2026

Juve Stabia

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3Pisa6 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Sampdoria29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Palermo23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Vicenza Virtus112361424-109
13Juve Stabia114431211+112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia

Vicenza Virtus

GoalsAssists

  • S. Merkaj31

Juve Stabia

GoalsAssists

  • Antonio Di Nardo70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vicenza Virtus and Juve Stabia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vicenza Virtus at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Tommaso Corazza 52' for Vicenza Virtus, Antonio Di Nardo (penalty) 78' for Juve Stabia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.