4 November 2026, 19:00 UTC

MC Alger vs MC Oran Ligue 1 prediction & result

Ali La Pointe Stadium, Douera
Full time2 – 0

Final score: MC Alger 2-0 MC Oran.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% MC Alger, 32% draw, 22% MC Oran — fair odds of 2.17, 3.13 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

MC Alger at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Alger99%Draw1%MC Oran0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Ghezala (pen)
24'
26'
M. Belkhiter
31'
O. Embarek
•M. Zougrana
38'
46'
🔁M. Belkhiterout: J. Aguieb
46'
🔁I. Saadiout: Y. Aliane
M. Khelif
56'
🔁M. Mehdaouiout: M. Abdelkader
61'
🔁C. Boukholdaout: M. Benkhemassa
61'
A. Ghezala
64'
M. Khelif
69'
M. Khelif
69'
69'
🔁B. Benkhedimout: A. Bourdim
70'
🔁A. Ghenamout: C. Aoudjane
🔁M. Bangouraout: Y. Gassi
71'
74'
A. Hamra
🔁Z. Ferhatout: S. Bayazid
81'
84'
M. Hadded
86'
🔁A. Hamraout: A. Kerroum
M. Benkhemassa
88'
⚽A. Ghezala
89'

Line-ups

MC Alger
  • 1A. Ramdane
  • 20M. Halaimia
  • 27A. Menezla
  • 19A. Ghezala
  • 3M. Khelif
  • 12M. Zougrana
  • 28O. Benhaoua
  • 17C. Boukholda
  • 8Z. Ferhat
  • 18M. Bangoura
  • 23M. Mehdaoui
Substitutes
  • 2Y. Gassi
  • 5A. Abdellaoui
  • 6M. Benkhemassa
  • 7S. Bayazid
  • 30M. Hammache
  • 14B. A. Kohili
  • 15M. Boucherit
  • 21M. Abdelkader
MC Oran
  • 1M. Zeghba
  • 20M. Belkhiter
  • 5M. Hadded
  • 23A. Hamra
  • 22H. Baouche
  • 6O. Embarek
  • 14O. Coumbassa
  • 21M. Abdelkader
  • 10B. Benkhedim
  • 26I. Saadi
  • 28A. Ghenam
Substitutes
  • 17C. Aoudjane
  • 24A. Kerroum
  • 16K. Soufi
  • 27Y. Aliane
  • 8J. Aguieb
  • 12O. Kaddour
  • 29M. Mahadane
  • 13M. Keniche
  • 4A. Bourdim

Form going into MC Alger vs MC Oran

MC Alger

Ligue 1

  • W2-0Khenchela31 October 2026
  • W1-0away to US Biskra27 October 2026
  • D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026

MC Oran

Ligue 1

  • D0-0Olympique Akbou30 October 2026
  • D0-0away to JS El Biar23 October 2026
  • W1-0Khenchela17 October 2026
  • W1-0away to US Biskra13 October 2026

What these results say

  • MC Oran went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • MC Oran kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for MC Oran had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3MC Alger751192+716
5MC Oran843152+315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Alger vs MC Oran

  • 20 February 2026MC Oran 2–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
  • 16 September 2025MC Alger 3–2 MC OranLigue 1
  • 6 March 2025MC Oran 0–2 MC AlgerLigue 1
  • 11 October 2024MC Alger 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 14 June 2024MC Alger 3–2 MC OranLigue 1
  • 26 January 2024MC Oran 0–2 MC AlgerLigue 1

The result against the call

MC Alger beat MC Oran 2–0. The model had made a win for MC Alger its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Ghezala (penalty) 24' for MC Alger, A. Ghezala 89' for MC Alger. Sent off: M. Khelif (MC Alger) 69'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave MC Alger a 46.6% chance to finish in the top two: 52.8% after a win, 42.6% after a draw, 37.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.8%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

For MC Oran the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 15.9% going in: 23.8% after a win, 15.1% after a draw, 12.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 12.4%, 3.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on MC Alger v MC Oran has moved

First published on 21 Oct at 46% / 30% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 32% / 22%: the biggest move is MC Oran's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. MC Alger win46%=
  2. Draw32%▲ +2
  3. MC Oran win22%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.