3 November 2026, 13:30 UTC

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Stade Tunisien 2-1 Club Africain.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Stade Tunisien, 27% draw, 34% Club Africain — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stade Tunisien at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Stade Tunisien4%Draw92%Club Africain4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽S. Kadida
16'
M. Zaddem
24'
H. Khadhraoui
30'
36'
I. Simpara
37'
S. Kadida
⚽S. Sghaierassist: Y. Saafi
45+3'
S. Sghaier
48'
🔁Y. Saafiout: Y. Dhaflaoui
48'
61'
🔁O. Elsharimiout: A. Kante
🔁Y. Toureout: P. Diop
71'
🔁A. N'Diayeout: R. Riahi
82'
83'
🔁H. Khadhraouiout: T. Nkeng
90+3'
S. Khan
⚽F. Ben Youssef
90+4'

Line-ups

Stade Tunisien
  • 22N. Farhati
  • 24R. Derbali
  • 5S. Sghaier
  • 3A. Saihi
  • 7W. Ouerghemmi
  • 12Y. Oumarou
  • 21Y. Toure
  • 34M. Thioune
  • 8Y. Saafi
  • 20B. Hmidi
  • 9A. N'Diaye
Substitutes
  • 16A. Dkhili
  • 1M. Ben Mrad
  • 18M. Khemissi
  • 17R. Riahi
  • 6P. Diop
  • 19F. Abdi
  • 11F. Ben Youssef
  • 29Y. Dhaflaoui
  • 14B. Camara
Coach: Toze Marreco
Club Africain
  • 1A. Chamakh
  • 17G. Zaalouni
  • 36I. Simpara
  • 4Y. Bouabid
  • 3G. Mahersi
  • 32O. Elsharimi
  • 30M. Zaddem
  • 28S. Khan
  • 7H. Khadhraoui
  • 18P. Kinzumbi
  • 40S. Kadida
Substitutes
  • 16G. Yeferni
  • 33H. Ben Ali
  • 8A. Kante
  • 6A. Abdelhak
  • 35R. El Djebali
  • 20H. Chikhaoui
  • 11O. Bouguerra
  • 29H. Mnasri
  • 34T. Nkeng
Coach: Maher Kanzari

Form going into Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

Stade Tunisien

Ligue 1

  • W1-0ES Zarzis29 October 2026
  • L0-1away to US Ben Guerdane23 October 2026
  • W2-1away to ES Metlaoui11 October 2026
  • W3-1away to ES Hammam-Sousse12 September 2026

Club Africain

Ligue 1

  • W3-2CA Bizertin29 October 2026
  • L1-2away to US Ben Guerdane10 October 2026
  • W1-0ES Zarzis20 September 2026

What these results say

  • Stade Tunisien won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Stade Tunisien scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Stade Tunisien conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Tunisia Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Stade Tunisien7412107+313
4Club Africain741286+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

  • 3 May 2026Club Africain 2–0 Stade TunisienLigue 1
  • 6 November 2025Stade Tunisien 0–0 Club AfricainLigue 1
  • 13 March 2025Club Africain 1–0 Stade TunisienLigue 1
  • 30 November 2024Stade Tunisien 1–0 Club AfricainLigue 1
  • 14 June 2024Stade Tunisien 1–1 Club AfricainLigue 1
  • 13 April 2024Club Africain 0–0 Stade TunisienLigue 1

The result against the call

Stade Tunisien beat Club Africain 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Stade Tunisien at 39%. The goals: S. Kadida 12' for Club Africain, S. Sghaier 45+3' for Stade Tunisien, F. Ben Youssef 90+4' for Stade Tunisien.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Stade Tunisien a 15.0% chance to finish in the top two: 23.4% after a win, 10.6% after a draw, 5.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.4%, 8.4 points higher than before the match.

For Club Africain the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 44.4% going in: 59.8% after a win, 43.0% after a draw, 32.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 32.7%, 11.7 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Stade Tunisien v Club Africain has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 37% / 28% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 39% / 27% / 34%: the biggest move is Stade Tunisien's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Stade Tunisien win39%▲ +2
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Club Africain win34%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.