CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: CR Belouizdad 1-0 JS Saoura.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% CR Belouizdad, 26% draw, 19% JS Saoura — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CR Belouizdad at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1
- D2-2away to USM Alger24 October 2026
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
JS Saoura
Ligue 1
- D0-0Ben Aknoun24 October 2026
- L0-1away to MB Rouisset18 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Algeria Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 13 | JS Saoura | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura
- 12 May 2026JS Saoura 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 13 September 2025CR Belouizdad 1–2 JS SaouraLigue 1
- 10 April 2025JS Saoura 1–3 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 17 December 2024CR Belouizdad 3–0 JS SaouraLigue 1
- 14 June 2024JS Saoura 1–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 27 January 2024CR Belouizdad 3–1 JS SaouraLigue 1
The result against the call
CR Belouizdad beat JS Saoura 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for CR Belouizdad at 55%. The goal: M. Ben Hammouda (penalty) 51' for CR Belouizdad.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave CR Belouizdad a 50.5% chance to finish in the top two: 54.7% after a win, 45.7% after a draw, 41.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 54.7%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.
For JS Saoura the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 21.4% going in: 14.9% after a win, 18.7% after a draw, 23.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.5%, 2.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on CR Belouizdad v JS Saoura has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 55% / 26% / 19%: the biggest move is CR Belouizdad's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- CR Belouizdad win55%▲ +7
- Draw26%▼ −2
- JS Saoura win19%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.