2 November 2026, 16:45 UTC

Témouchent vs US Biskra Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time1 – 1

Final score: Témouchent 1-1 US Biskra.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Témouchent, 26% draw, 20% US Biskra — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Témouchent at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Témouchent5%Draw93%US Biskra2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. H. Hedroug
20'
27'
M. I. Belhadj
34'
⚽M. Belkhadem
46'
🔁E. Zaddyout: C. Ghedabe
🔁M. H. Hedrougout: M. Itim
59'
65'
🔁A. Zeke Omweleout: C. Debbih
66'
M. Belkhadem
⚽I. Saihi (pen)assist: I. Saihi
72'
⚽I. Saihi
72'
🔁A. Maddahout: N. Merdja
73'
🔁K. Baazizout: M. Senhadji
73'
78'
🔁K. Necheout: O. A. Ammar
78'
🔁M. I. Belhadjout: A. Ghorab
80'
A. Ghorab
🔁M. Zaaloukout: A. Hamri
90'
90+5'
I. Benchlef
90+5'
K. Bouhakak

Form going into Témouchent vs US Biskra

Témouchent

Ligue 1

  • W2-1away to ES Setif24 October 2026
  • D1-1ASO Chlef18 October 2026
  • L0-2MB Rouisset14 October 2026

US Biskra

Ligue 1

  • L0-1MC Alger27 October 2026
  • L1-4away to JS Kabylie18 October 2026
  • L0-1MC Oran13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Témouchent9243710-310
16US Biskra9045414-104

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Témouchent and US Biskra drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Témouchent at 54% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Belkhadem 34' for US Biskra, I. Saihi 72' for Témouchent.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Témouchent a 27.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 22.7% after a win, 30.8% after a draw, 36.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 30.8%, 3 points higher than before the match.

For US Biskra the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 89.7% going in: 83.5% after a win, 90.3% after a draw, 92.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 90.3%, 0.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Témouchent v US Biskra has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 39% / 31% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 54% / 26% / 20%: the biggest move is Témouchent's chance of winning, up 15 points.

  1. Témouchent win54%▲ +15
  2. Draw26%▼ −5
  3. US Biskra win20%▼ −10

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.