IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IF Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% IF Elfsborg, 23% draw, 22% Vasteras SK FK — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts IF Elfsborg at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
Line-ups
- 31I. PetterssonG
- 16A. JensenD
- 8S. HolmenD
- 4T. IsherwoodD
- 23N. HultD
- 10S. OlssonM
- 18J. MagnussonM
- 29M. KamaraM
- 19J. BeckM
- 9A. ZeneliM
- 21L. OstmanF
- 30T. SanderG
- 6R. WikstromD
- 2R. MohammedD
- 15S. HedlundM
- 28F. AronssonD
- 5O. NordvallM
- 25A. SigurpalssonF
- 22D. KrasniqiF
- 24F. IhlerF
- 34E. JagerG
- 2H. MagnussonD
- 4P. BondeD
- 28M. KeitaD
- 11S. GefvertM
- 30M. Hellisdal
- 8M. DiagneM
- 3M. BaggesenM
- 5K. GunnarssonF
- 16B. LendambiF
- 17T. AxelF
- 1A. FagerstromG
- 15J. KarlssonD
- 21V. WernerssonM
- 22L. BarkD
- 24J. TagessonD
- 19J. MagnussonM
- 32M. AbdiM
- 20M. LjungqvistD
- 7A. BoudahF
Form going into IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF8 August 2026
- W2-1away to Malmo FF26 July 2026
- L1-3Sirius19 July 2026
Vasteras SK FK
- W1-0Djurgardens IF10 August 2026
- L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
- W2-0Orgryte IS24 July 2026
- D0-0away to Mjallby AIF17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 34 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK
- 14 August 2026IF Elfsborg 3–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 11 April 2026Vasteras SK FK 2–2 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 2 November 2024IF Elfsborg 1–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 7 April 2024Vasteras SK FK 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IF Elfsborg and Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
- L. Ãstman6 goals1 assists
Vasteras SK FK
- M. Ladefoged9 goals2 assists
- A. Taonsa6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.