2 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Mladost, Lucani
Referee: Pavle Ilic
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Mladost Lucani 0-1 Radnik Surdulica.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Mladost Lucani, 29% draw, 37% Radnik Surdulica — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Radnik Surdulica at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mladost Lucani0%Draw4%Radnik Surdulica96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

nikola andric
27'
45'
David Stojanovic
🔁mihailo todosijevicout: Petar Bojić
58'
Filip Mladenović
60'
62'
🔁Aleksandar Pejovićout: Filip Zunic
68'
🔁Emmanuel Quarshieout: Luka Jovanović
🔁Miloš Cvetkovićout: Taras Bondarenko
73'
🔁Dušan Jovančićout: Vukasin Markovic
74'
🔁Jovan ciricout: ognjen bondzulic
81'
🔁Filip Mladenovićout: Nemanja Petrović
81'
84'
⚽Uros Lazicassist: Vukasin Bogdanovic
85'
•Uros Lazic
89'
🔁Milos Spasicout: Djordje Jovanovic

Match stats — Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica

39%Possession61%
7Shots14
1On target2
2Corners6
0.79xG0.93

Goals against chances

Mladost Lucani0 from 0.79 xGless than the chances were worth
Radnik Surdulica1 from 0.93 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
  • 1S. StamenkovićG
  • 44M. CvetkovićD
  • 7N. AndrićD
  • 30N. ĆirkovićD
  • 33V. JovanovićD
  • 37F. MladenovićD
  • 88Vasil TasovskiM
  • 29D. JovančićM
  • 32B. JovičićM
  • 25J. ĆirićM
  • 22JoãoF
Substitutes
  • 9Petar BojićM
  • 14T. BondarenkoD
  • 11O. BondžulićF
  • 36D. DjokicM
  • 39J. UzuegbunamF
  • 12M. JoksimovićD
  • 5V. KijevčaninM
  • 10O. KrsmanovicM
  • 24V. MarkovićM
Coach: R. Ćurčić
Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
  • 99S. RandjelovicG
  • 22U. LazićD
  • 6David StojanovićD
  • 5M. PopovićD
  • 2Tijan SohnaD
  • 28A. PejovićM
  • 29O. ShukurovM
  • 47Emmanuel QuarshieM
  • 30M. NovakovićM
  • 27M. SpasićM
  • 9V. BogdanovićF
Substitutes
  • 88Đ. JovanovićF
  • 14Uroš IlićD
  • 18F. ŽunićD
  • 7D. StojanovićM
  • 23Lazar RadojicicG
  • 11Tom KljunF
  • 49D. MarkočevićF
  • 34Nikša BlagojevićD
  • 20L. JovanovicF
Coach: Zoran Rendulic

Form going into Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica

Mladost Lucani

Super Liga

  • D1-1Vojvodina24 October 2026
  • L1-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda18 October 2026
  • D0-0OFK Beograd12 October 2026

Radnik Surdulica

Super Liga

  • L0-1away to Radnicki 192323 October 2026
  • W3-0Radnicki NIS16 October 2026
  • L0-1away to IMT Novi Beograd10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Mladost Lucani154651221-918
6Radnik Surdulica156542018+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica

  • 19 July 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 8 December 2025Radnik Surdulica 0–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 2 August 2025Mladost Lucani 1–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 25 November 2023Radnik Surdulica 1–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 31 July 2023Mladost Lucani 0–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 9 May 2023Mladost Lucani 2–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Mladost Lucani and Radnik Surdulica

Mladost Lucani

GoalsAssists

  • Vasil Tasovski40

Radnik Surdulica

GoalsAssists

  • V. Bogdanović61
  • M. Novaković33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnik Surdulica won 1–0 at Mladost Lucani. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Radnik Surdulica at 37%. The goal: Uros Lazic 84' for Radnik Surdulica. On expected goals it finished 0.79–0.93.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Mladost Lucani a 17.2% chance to finish in the top six: 25.6% after a win, 15.4% after a draw, 9.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.0%, 8.2 points lower than before the match.

For Radnik Surdulica the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 29.3% going in: 39.7% after a win, 26.2% after a draw, 19.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.7%, 10.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.